Another profitable night yesterday on the NHL, going 8-3-1, winning 3.74 units. Today we have a huge slate with a ton of games. Let’s win!!
Sabres vs. Flyers (1:00)
This is a matchup between two pretty bad teams to start off the day. The Sabres are 12-21-7 and just have two wins in their last eleven games. They’re averaging just a seventh fewest 2.58 goals per game and allowing a sixth most 3.45 goals per game. The Flyers come into this game at 13-19-8 on a ten game losing streak. They’re even worse offensively than Buffalo, averaging a fifth fewest 2.48 goals per game and allowing a ninth most 3.28 goals per game. I’d slightly lean the Sabres win this game at home, but with them starting Michael Houser in goal for the second time this season after his 3-1 win against Ottawa, that sort of swings my lean on this game to the Flyers. No chance I’m betting this game and if the Sabres weren’t my team, I wouldn’t be watching this one either.
Bruins vs. Jets (3:00)
The Bruins have been one of the hottest teams in the NHL since coming back from the NHL break. They’re 23-12-2 with only two losses in their last eleven games since coming back on January 1st. The B’s are averaging a twelfth best 3.11 goals per game and they’re even better on the back end, allowing a ninth fewest in the NHL 2.68 goals per game. The Jets have been inconsistent this year. They’re 17-13-6, coming into this game on the road with back to back losses but four wins in their last seven games. They’re league average on both ends of the ice, scoring and allowing an average of 2.86 goals per game. I like the B’s to win this one at home and keep the hot streak going, even without Marchand in the lineup, a significant subtraction to the lineup. I’d slightly lean the under here but not enough to bet on it. I’ll go with a unit on the Bruins ML.
Devils vs. Hurricanes (7:00)
Carolina’s one of the top teams in the NHL and last night beat the Rangers 6-3 for their third straight win. The Canes are a very good team at 27-8-2. They’re allowing the fewest goals in the NHL, an average of 2.27 per game and scoring the fourth most, an average of 3.57 per game. The Devils on the other hand are on a three game losing streak and they’re 14-9-5. They haven’t done much offensively, averaging only 2.82 goals per game and they’ve been bad on the back end, allowing a seventh most 3.4 goals per game. Even on the second half of a back to back on the road, I like Carolina to keep rolling and win this game. They’re starting third string goaltender Jack LaFontaine in goal though who hasn’t started a game yet this season and has a terrible 8.03 GAA and .333 save percentage in his relief appearance a few days ago. That goaltending decision makes me stay off the ML in this game. I’ll go with Carolina TT over 3.5 for a unit and the alternate over 6 for 2 units.
Rangers vs. Coyotes (7:00)
Last night the Rangers ended their three game win streak with a 6-3 loss in Carolina. The Rags are 26-11-4 with an 11-3-2 record at home and just three losses in their last ten games. Igor Shesterkin’s back in goal tonight after getting last night off and mainly on the back of his Vezina calibre play, they’re allowing the third fewest goals in the NHL, an average of 2.54 goals per game. They’re averaging 2.93 goals per game themselves. The Yotes are one of the worst teams in the NHL with a 10-25-4 record. They’re playing their best hockey of the season with four wins in their last eight games but they’re still a terrible team. They’re averaging only 2.21 goals per game, second fewest in the NHL, only behind Montreal and they’re allowing the third most in the league, an average of 3.62 per game. The Rangers should smoke the Yotes at home tonight. When they played in Arizona on December 15th, the Rangers won 3-2. The ML here is way too expensive at -315, but I think it’s worth taking the regulation line here for 1.5 units along with a unit on the Arizona TT under 2 in regulation, since I don’t really expect their pathetic offense to score on Shesterkin.
Capitals vs. Senators (7:00)
Although the Caps only have two wins in their last eight games, they’re still a pretty solid team at 22-10-9. They’re averaging a tenth most in the NHL, 3.27 goals per game with Ovi leading the NHL in scoring with 56 points and 27 goals. They’re very good defensively too, allowing an eleventh fewest 2.76 goals per game. The Ottawa Senators are atrocious with an 11-20-2 record. They’re averaging only 2.82 goals per game and allowing the most in the NHL, 3.87 goals per game. In a high flying game on October 25th, the Caps beat the Senators 7-5. They should get another win here tonight at home. I don’t like the idea of laying the -205 here so I’ll go with a unit on the regulation line here. I’d lean the over too but not enough to bet on it.
Avalanche vs. Canadiens (7:00)
This is one of the most lopsided matchups of the NHL season so far and the -715 price on the Avalanche here at home against the Habs. Colorado’s one of the best teams in the NHL with a 27-8-3 record and they’ve been very good at home where they have a 16-2-1 record. They come into this game on a five game winning streak with only one loss (that came in overtime) in their last eleven games. The Avs lead the NHL with an average of 4.18 goals per game, which makes up for their poor defensive play and goaltending, as they’re allowing an average of 3.05 goals per game. The Habs are easily the worst team in the NHL. They have a pathetic 8-25-6 record and only have one win in their last eight games and only two in their last 16 games. They’re allowing the most goals in the NHL, an average of 3.67 per game and scoring the fewest in the league, an average of just 2.18 per game. The first time these teams played Colorado won 4-1 in Montreal on December 2nd. You can’t bet the ML, regulation lines or even the puck lines on this game at such egregious prices. I’d lean the over too but don’t want to rely on the Habs to score. The one line I see some value in here is the Avs TT over 4 in regulation that I’ll take for a unit.
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs (7:00)
Interesting matchup in this game. The Islanders are playing their best hockey of the season, coming off a 4-0 win against Arizona for their third straight win and sixth in their last seven games. They’ve been really good defensively and in goal, allowing a fifth fewest 2.58 goals per game. Their offense still hasn’t woken up much, still averaging a fourth fewest in the NHL 2.36 goals per game. The Leafs are very good this year with a 24-10-3 record but have just two wins in their last five games. They’re averaging a seventh most 3.38 goals per game and allowing a seventh fewest 2.65 goals per game. Tonight they’re starting Petr Mrazek in goal though instead of Jack Campbell. Mrazek hasn’t been great this season, going 2-2 with a 3.59 GAA and an .882 save percentage. When these teams played on November 21st, the Leafs won in a 3-0 shutout on Long Island. I’d still lean Toronto to win here and would lean the under but without Campbell, I don’t think either are worth betting so I’ll just stay off this game.
Predators vs. Red Wings (8:30)
On Thursday night, the Preds ended their four game losing streak with a 5-2 win at home against Winnipeg. Nashville’s averaging 3.07 goals per game and allowing an eleventh fewest 2.76 goals per game. The Red Wings are 18-17-6 but they’ve been pretty lousy lately with only three wins in their last ten games and they’re significantly worse on the road where they have a 5-11-3 record. They’re scoring only 2.71 goals per game, ninth fewest in the NHL and allowing a ninth most average of 3.27 goals per game. When these teams played in Detroit on December 7th, the Preds won 5-2. I like the Predators to win this one tonight at home in Smashville and I’ll go with a unit on the Preds in regulation along with a half unit each on the Preds TT over 3 and the Red Wings TT under 2 in regulation.
Wild vs. Blackhawks (9:00)
Last night the Wild got an easy 5-1 win over the Blackhawks on the first half of this home and home. Minnesota’s 23-10-3 with a very good 12-3-1 record at home. They’re scoring the third most goals in the NHL, an average of 3.69 per game and have allowed an average of 2.97 goals per game. The Blackhawks aren’t good. They’ve got a 15-19-6 record, averaging 2.33 goals per game, third fewest in the NHL and allowing an average of 3.25 per game. Fleury gets the night off tonight with Kevin Lankinen getting the start for the Hawks. He has a 2-5-3 record this season, a 3.38 GAA and a .887 save percentage. I like Minnesota to run this one back with another win tonight. I’ll lay the -210 juice here on the ML with 1.5 units on Minnesota along with a unit on the Wild TT over 3.5.
Oilers vs. Flames (10:00)
The Battle of Alberta is back tonight with these two teams in pretty bad slumps. The Oilers are on a terrible seven game losing streak, coming off a 6-0 shutout loss to Florida on Thursday night. This team sucks and even with McDavid and Draisaitl, can’t win games. They’re average 3.19 goals per game on the season but they’re allowing a sixth most 3.42 goals per game. They have awful goaltending and even when their offense does score, they give up too many goals and lose. Calgary comes off a 5-1 win at home against Florida on Tuesday to end their four game losing streak. The Flames are very good defensively with Markstrom’s good play in goal and they’re allowing the second fewest goals in the league, just trailing Carolina with an average of 2.51 goals allowed per game. Their offense has been averaging 3.09 goals per game. The first time these two biggest rivals in the NHL met this season, the Oilers won 5-2 on October 16th. I’d lean the Flames get their revenge with a win in this one but i wouldn’t bet on it. I’d also lean the over, but anything can happen in this heated rivalry and I’d rather just not bet it.
Sharks vs. Lightning (10:30)
Last night Tampa got stomped in Anaheim for a 5-1 loss, ending their four game win streak. The Bolts are a very good 27-10-5. They are averaging 3.33 goals per game, ninth most in the NHL and allowing an average of 2.83 goals per game. The Sharks come into this game with a 21018-2 record off a 3-2 loss in Seattle on Thursday. They’re an inconsistent team, averaging 2.76 goals per game and allowing an average of 3 goals per game. Brian Elliott is projected to start with Vaz starting in last night’s game and this is the third road game the Lightning are playing in the last five days. I’d lean Tampa and the over but not enough to bet either of them so I’ll just skip this game.
1u Bruins ML (-165)
2u Carolina/NJ over 6 (-143)
1u Carolina TT over 3.5 (-117)
1.5u Rangers in regulation (-195)
1u Arizona TT under 2 in regulation (-167)
1u Capitals in regulation (-130)
1u Avalanche TT over 4 in regulation (-177)
1u Nashville in regulation (-141)
.5u Nashville TT over 3 (-182)
.5u Detroit TT under 2.5 in regulation (-186)
1.5u Wild ML (-210)
1u Wild TT over 3.5 (-125)
Record: 331-229-13 (+26.45 units)
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