Yesterday was a winning day for me on the NHL going 4-3-1 and winning 1.46 units (and I made a ton on the NFL) to get off my losing run of a few days. Tonight we have a small five game slate with some nice matchups to bet on.
Blue Jackets vs. Panthers (7:00)
Florida’s one of the top two teams in the NHL. They’re 31-9-5, coming into tonight on a three game win streak after coming back from down 4-2 to beat the Sharks 5-4 in overtime on Saturday night where they generated 50 shots on goal. They have a 13-2-1 record in their last 16 games. They’re second in the NHL in scoring, averaging 4.04 goals per game and they’ve allowed an average of 2.82 per game. Columbus comes into tonight’s game off their second straight win, beating Montreal 6-3 last night after winning 5-3 in New York against the Rangers on Thursday night, ending their three game losing streak before that. They’re 20-21-1 but haven’t played good hockey at all lately. They’re okay offensively, averaging 3.07 goals per game but are allowing the third most goals in the hockey, an average of 3.57 per game. Two weeks ago on January 15th, Florida obliterated the Blue Jackets 9-2 and although I don’t see today’s game being such a huge blowout again, the Panthers should get a pretty easily win here, especially with the Blue Jackets on the second half of a back to back. No way am I betting the -315, but I’ll go with a unit on Florida in regulation. I like the over too, but I’m not betting the 7 where I need at least eight goals to win so I’ll buy it down to 6.5 for a unit. If the Florida TT was 3.5 (or was a reasonable price to buy down), I’d be hammering that but I’ll take the TT over 4 for 1.5 units.
Senators vs. Oilers (7:30)
The Oilers are now now 22-16-2 and seem to have rebounded from their lousy stretch of a seven game losing streak and just two wins in 15 games by rattling off four straight wins, most recently a 7-2 blowout win in Montreal on Saturday night. The McDavid and Draisaitl lead offense is averaging a tenth most 3.3 goals per game. I still don’t think you can rely on only two players, no matter how great they are, to generate all your scoring, but its working lately for them and making up for their shitty defense and goaltending, allowing an eleventh most 3.3 goals per game. They have a pretty favorable matchup tonight in Ottawa against the 13-21-4 Sens, who come into this game with just two wins in their last seven games. The Senators are scoring an average of only 2.76 goals per game and allowing a seventh most 3.4 goals per game. Earlier this month in that losing stretch of hockey the Oilers were playing, the Sens beat them 6-4 in Edmonton on January 15th. I think the Oilers get the revenge win here tonight. I’ll go with a unit on the Oilers in regulation (I don’t think its worth laying the -210 price on the ML) and a half unit each on the over and the Oilers TT over 3.5.
Red Wings vs. Ducks (7:30)
This isn’t a great matchup to me, or rather it could be a good game but not a good spot for betting on. Detroit is not a good team. They’re 19-20-6 and come into this game with only one win in their last five games and just four wins in their last 14 games. The have fared better at home this season though, where they have a 13-8-3 record. The Red Wings are scoring a ninth fewest in the NHL average of 2.73 goals per game and allowing a fifth most 3.44 goals per game. The Ducks are having a good season at 23-16-8 and after their poor stretch of hockey in the first half of January, they’re coming into tonight with a 4-0-1 record in their last five games. They’re getting that done lately mainly on John Gibson’s goaltending though as in their last three games they’ve been outshot 139-64. On the season, Anaheim is averaging 2.91 goals per game but like I said, they’re getting it done in goal, allowing an average of 2.79 goals per game. These teams played in Anaheim a few weeks ago on January 9th, where it took until a shootout for the Ducks to win 4-3. I’ve been on the Ducks a lot lately, but even against a lousy Red Wings team, I think the best move is to just stay off of this game.
Blackhawks vs. Canucks (7:30)
This is another interesting matchup between two teams that haven’t had much success lately. The Blackhawks are 16-21-7 and have struggled all season on both ends of the ice and they come into tonight with just one win in their last six games. They’re scoring an average of only 2.45 goals per game, fifth fewest in the NHL and allowing a ninth most in the NHL average of 3.34 goals per game. The Canucks have also been on a slump, with only one win in their last five games, dropping to 19-19-6 on the season with three wins in their last ten games. They’ve struggled to score all year, averaging only 2.43 goals per game, fourth fewest in the NHL. They have been good defensively though, allowing a ninth fewest in the NHL 2.68 goals per game. These teams split their two previous matchups and the road team won both with a Canucks 4-1 win in Chicago on October 21st and a 1-0 shutout win for the Blackhawks in Vancouver on November 21st. I’d lean the Canucks and the under in this matchup but not enough to bet either.
Maple Leafs vs. Devils (7:30)
This game is a great spot to find some bets. The Leafs are 27-10-3 with a 15-4-1 record at home and come into tonight on a three game winning streak with just one loss in their last five games and just three losses in their last twelve. They’re scoring the fifth most goals in hockey, an average of 3.45 per game. They’ve also been really solid on the back end, allowing a fifth fewest 2.65 goals per game. With Mrazek starting in their 7-4 win in Detroit on Saturday, Jack Campbell’s confirmed back in goal tonight. Campbell’s been great this season with a 2.26 GAA and .926 save percentage. The Devils have been bad lately and come into this game with a 15-23-5 record on a four game losing streak and only one win in their last eight games. They’re scoring just 2.79 goals per game on average and allowing a seventh most in the NHL average of 3.4 goals per game. They’re likely starting fourth string goalie Akira Schmid in goal tonight who is 0-3 this season with a terrible 4.99 GAA and .824 save percentage. I love the Leafs to win this game at home tonight especially with that goaltending matchup. I’m not laying the -360 on this game but I’ll go with the Leafs in regulation for 1.5 units and take the Leafs TT over 3.5 for 2.5 units.
1u Florida in regulation (-186)
1.5u Florida TT over 4 (-137)
1u Florida/Columbus over 6.5 (-139)
1u Oilers in regulation (-125)
.5u Oilers/Senators over 6.5 (-115)
.5u Oilers TT over 3.5 (-139)
1.5u Leafs in regulation (-200)
2.5u Leafs TT over 3.5 (-175)
Record: 378-264-15 (+11.18 units)