Happy Valentine’s Day! Won a unit on the NHL yesterday going 5-2 before the Super Bowl with the Caps losing preventing the big sweep of the board. Tonight we have another quick four game slate. Let’s make it a five day winning streak!
Wild vs. Red Wings (8:00)
After their disappointing 2-0 shutout loss in Winnipeg coming out of the All Star break last Tuesday, the Wild bounced back with a great 3-2 win against Carolina on Saturday for their seventh win in their last eight games. They are 29-11-3 on the season with a 10-1-1 record in their last twelve games. They are one of the hottest teams in hockey, averaging 3.72 goals per game, third most in the NHL while allowing an average of 2.81 goals per game. The Red Wings have three wins in their last four game (two of those came back to back against Philly) but they’re not having a great season at 22-21-6. They’re averaging just 2.82 goals per game, 13th fewest in the NHL while allowing a seventh most 3.39 goals per game. I’d expect Minnesota to pretty much cruise through this game pretty easily. I don’t expect overtime in this game so I’d rather save some juice here rather than laying the -240 and go with two units on the Wild in regulation and a unit on the Wild TT over 3.5.
Jets vs. Blackhawks (9:00)
This isn’t a particularly interesting game to me. The Blackhawks aren’t a great team at 17-24-7 and coming off their 5-1 loss in St. Louis on Saturday night, they have just two wins in their last ten games. On the season, they’ve struggled mightily to score, averaging only 2.38 goals per game, third fewest in the NHL and even with Marc-Andre Fleury’s solid play in net (until he inevitably will get traded at the deadline), they’re also struggling to keep the puck out of the back of their own net, allowing an average of 3.35 goals per game, ninth most in the NHL. The 20-17-8 Winnipeg Jets have been decent in their last five games with a 3-1-1 record in that span after coming off a six game losing streak. On the season, they’ve struggled a bit to score, scoring an eleventh fewest in the NHL average of 2.8 goals per game. On the other end of the ice, they’ve allowed an average of 2.84 goals per game. In the first game between these teams this season, the Jets won 5-1 on November 5th. I think Winnipeg’s the better team here but I don’t see them being worth betting here at -170. I’d expect this game to be closer than that first matchup but don’t really have enough trust in the Jets to bet on them here. I’d rather just skip this game since I don’t think either of these teams are particularly any good. I’d lean the under but not enough to bet on it at 5.5 so I’ll just skip the game entirely.
Kraken vs. Maple Leafs (9:00)
The Leafs come into this game on a two game losing streak, with a 3-2 loss in Vancouver on Saturday and a 5-2 loss to Calgary on Thursday. Prior to those two games they were on a six game win streak. Toronto’s having a great season at 30-12-3 and I could see this being a nice bounce back spot for the Leafs. On the year, they’re scoring an average 3.53 goals per game, fourth most in the NHL and allowing just 2.71 goals per game on average, eighth fewest in the NHL. All Star goaltender Jack Campbell is starting in goal tonight, who has been great with a 2.39 GAA and .921 save percentage. Seattle’s had quite the struggle of an inaugural season. They’re 16-28-4 and after their 4-3 win against the Ducks on Friday (preventing me from sweeping that night), they have just two wins in their last five games. The Kraken have been pretty terrible on both ends of the ice this year, averaging just 2.63 goals per game, eighth fewest in the NHL while allowing a sixth most average of 3.46 goals per game. In this first ever matchup between these teams, I think the Leafs get the win. I don’t like ever laying -250 on a team, so I’ll go with Toronto in regulation for a unit and the Leafs TT over 3.5 for a unit. I’d lean the over as well but not enough to bet on it.
Sharks vs. Oilers (10:30)
This is a tough game to analyze since both of these teams have been so inconsistent this season. The Oilers are coming off a 3-1 win on Friday night against the Islanders but have just two wins in their five games. They’re 24-18-3 on the season. Lead by Draisaitl (65 points, 33 goals) and Connor McDavid (63 points, 40 assists), who have been involved in a majority of Edmonton’s goals, as a team they are scoring an average of 3.18 goals per game, twelfth in the NHL. Their bigger issue outside of the lack of scoring depth is their shitty defense and goaltending, allowing a tenth most 3.27 goals per game. The Sharks are 22-20-4 and have been struggling quite a bit lately too, with only one win in their last six games (and just two in their last nine). They’ve struggled to score, averaging just 2.72 goals per game, tenth fewest in the NHL and allowing an average of 3.07 goals per game. I’d lean the Oilers here and they should win but until they can consistently put it together to win hockey games, I’m not trusting them to bet on their games. I’d lean the over but not even close to enough to bet on here.
2u Wild in regulation (-135)
1u Wild TT over 3.5 (-134)
1u Leafs in regulation (-150)
1u Leafs TT over 3.5 (-143)
Record: 423-296-16 (+21.48 units)