I got crushed yesterday with bad puck luck on the NHL, going 3-8, losing 11.59 units. Sometimes the pucks just don’t bounce your way. Still up a ton on the season, so let’s jump back into it here and bounce back on tonight’s six game slate.
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets (7:00)
Last night the Columbus Blue Jackets got their fourth straight win with a 6-3 shocker in Florida. They’re now 27-23-1 and playing their best hockey of the season with only two losses in their last eleven games. In their win last night they got lucky, getting outshot 42-28 and outworked by Florida most of the game and the same thing happened in their win against Toronto on Tuesday where they got outshot 42-30. On the season they’ve been good offensively, averaging 3.33 goals per game, ninth most in the NHL but have been horrible defensively, allowing a second most in the NHL average of 3.63 goals per game. Carolina’s one of the top teams in the NHL at 35-11-4 and have a great 17-4-2 record at home, coming into tonight on a three game win streak. They are scoring an average of 3.5 goals per game, sixth most in the NHL and allowing only 2.42 goals per game, tied with Calgary for the fewest in the league. Carolina is 2-1 on the season against Columbus, winning both games on the road with a 5-1 win on October 23rd and a 7-4 win on January 1st but lost 6-0 at home on January 13th, which I thought was a fluke of a game. I think the Canes end up winning this game to end the Jackets win streak but it definitely isn’t worth the -345 price and don’t even think its worth the -210 regulation line or the puck line, even with Columbus on the second half of a road back to back. I like the over as well, but at 6.5 juiced up at -124, that isn’t worth betting to me either. I’ll take a unit on Carolina TT over 4.
Blues vs. Sabres (8:00)
The Sabres are an atrocious team. They’re 16-28-8 and coming off a 4-0 shutout loss in Montreal on Wednesday night, they’re on a four game losing streak. Buffalo’s struggling on both ends of the ice, scoring a seventh fewest average of 2.62 goals per game and allowing a fourth most in the NHL average of 3.56 goals per game. Not good. The Blues are a solid team at 30-14-6 and have four wins in their last five games. They have the fourth highest scoring offense in the league, averaging 3.54 goals per game and have been quite good on the back end as well, allowing a seventh fewest in the NHL average of 2.72 goals per game. I think the Blues likely smoke the Sabres at home tonight and I’ll take the Blues in regulation for 2 units.
Blackhawks vs. Devils (8:30)
Last night the Devils shockingly blew out the much better Penguins 6-1 on the road in Pittsburgh, outworking them in every facet of the game from start to finish. I thought the Devils would keep it close but figured the Pens would win that one. NJ is 18-28-5 on the year and have had their struggles recently with just four wins in their last 16 games. They’re averaging 2.96 goals per game on the season, which is right in the middle of the league but have struggled to keep the puck out of their own net, allowing a sixth most in the NHL average of 3.51 goals per game. Chicago sucks too with an 18-26-8 record, on a three game losing streak with only three wins in their last 14 games. They’ve been bad on both ends of the ice, scoring only an average of 2.37 goals per game, third fewest in the league while allowing an average of 3.35 goals per game, ninth most in the NHL. The first time these teams played this year, it was a tight game in Jersey the first week of the season on October 15th, with the Blackhawks tying the game with 26 seconds left before Jack Hughes won it 57 seconds into overtime for the Devils. I’d slightly lean the Devils but on the second half of a back to back on the road, there’s no value in it. I’d lean the over as well, but not enough to bet it. I have no interest in betting this game and I’ll skip it completely.
Avalanche vs. Jets (9:00)
The Colorado Avalanche are one of the best teams in the NHL with a 37-10-4 record and the best home record in the league, going 21-3-2 in Ball Arena. They have the second highest scoring offense in the NHL (only trailing the Panthers) averaging 3.94 goals per game and they have allowed an average of 2.82 goals per game. The Jets are an inconsistent 22-20-9 and currently on a three game losing streak after their 3-2 overtime loss in Dallas on Wednesday. They’ve struggled a bit to score, averaging 2.8 goals per game while allowing an average of 2.88 goals per game. The first time these teams played this season on January 6th was a clinic for the Avs, who after allowing Mark Scheifele score first on the power play less than three minutes into the game rattled off seven straight goals to win 7-0. Colorado should win again tonight but I’m not laying the -295 price on them. I’ll go with a unit on the Avs in regulation and a unit on the Avs TT over 3.5. I’d lean the over as well but don’t see value on it at 6.5 so I’ll skip that.
Coyotes vs. Golden Knights (9:30)
Vegas got off their three game losing streak with a 4-1 win in SJ against their rival Sharks on Sunday night with Jack Eichel scoring his first goal as a Golden Knight. The Knights are 29-18-4 on the season and have dealt with injuries all year. Their offense has been good, scoring an average of 3.24 goals per game, twelfth most in the NHL and they’ve allowed an average of 2.92 goals per game. The Yotes are one of the worst teams in the NHL at 13-34-4 with only three wins in their last 13 games. They have produced the fewest goals in the league, an average of only 2.25 goals per game and they’ve allowed the second most, an average of 3.63 per game, only better than Montreal in that category. On December 3rd in the first matchup between these teams this year, the Knights put on a show in Arizona with a 7-1 blowout win. Vegas should win again here tonight but I sure as shit am not laying the -286. I’ll go with a unit on the Knights in regulation and a half unit on their TT over 3.5. Don’t really have a lean on either side of the over under on this one.
Ducks vs. Kings (10:00)
LA’s playing great hockey lately, coming into tonight’s game against their in state rival Ducks with a 27-17-7 record on a three game win streak with a 7-2-1 record in their last ten games. Offensively, they’ve struggled at times and are averaging 2.86 goals per game (improved from earlier this year) but they’ve been very good on the back end, allowing the sixth fewest goals in hockey, an average of only 2.71 goals per game. The Ducks have seemingly fixed some of their issues with high scoring wins against SJ and Vancouver in their last two games to get off their four game losing streak. They’re scoring an average of 2.94 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.96 goals per game. The first meeting this season between these teams on November 30th, Anaheim blew a 4-1 lead in the third period but ultimately won 5-4 in a shootout in LA. I’ll take the Kings to outwork the Ducks defensively tonight and I’ll take them for a unit. I’d lean the under but wouldn’t bet it.
1u Carolina TT over 4 (-137)
2u Blues in regulation (-190)
1u Avalanche in regulation (-175)
1u Avalanche TT over 3.5 (-177)
1u Vegas in regulation (-153)
.5u Vegas TT over 3.5 (-136)
1u Kings ML (-115)
Record: 491-340-16 (+23.7 units)