I crushed betting overs last night but fell flat betting teams to win, to end up going 5-8 losing 3.27 units. I’m fine with that. The NHL is fucking awful at scheduling so between yesterday’s eleven game slate and tomorrow’s 13 game slate, we only have two games tonight.
Oilers vs. Capitals (8:00)
Last night the Caps pulled off a 5-4 win in Calgary where we saw Alex Ovechkin, who has 70 points and 36 goals tie Jaromir Jagr for third most goals in NHL history. We’re witnessing the greatest goal scorer of all time’s career. The Capitals come into tonight’s game, their second in back to back nights in Alberta on a three game win streak with a 31-18-9 record. Statistically, Washington has been good on both ends of the ice, scoring tenth most in the NHL average of 3.24 goals per game and they’re allowing a ninth fewest in the NHL average of 2.76 goals per game. The Oilers are 30-23-4, coming off a 3-1 loss in Calgary in the Battle of Alberta on Monday night and only have one win in their last five games. The offense for the Oilers has scored a twelfth most in the NHL average of 3.19 goals per game, with a majority of that offensive production coming through Leon Draisaitl (38 goals) and Connor McDavid (50 assists) who lead the league in scoring with 79 points each. The formula to beat the Oilers is just two shut down those two guys. Edmonton has struggled defensively and in goal all season, allowing a tenth most in the NHL average of 3.21 goals per game. In the first game between these teams this season that they played on February 2nd in Washington, the Oilers got a 5-3 win on the road. Both of these teams have been very inconsistent which makes me picking this game very difficult. I think the Caps are the better overall team but its tough to pick them to win on the second half of a back to back on the road. I’ll take the alternate over 6 on this game for a unit.
Canucks vs. Canadiens (10:30)
The Canucks have really become a good team under Bruce “there he is” Boudreau. They’ve got a 28-23-6 record and are coming into tonight’s game with seven wins in their last nine games. Their offense hasn’t produced much on the season, averaging a tenth fewest in the NHL 2.82 goals per game but lately their offense has been potent, averaging 4.45 goals per game in their last eleven games and producing at least four goals in six of their last seven games. They’ve been great on the back end all season, allowing a twelfth fewest in the NHL average of 2.84 goals per game with Thatcher Demko holding a solid 2.63 GAA and .917 save percentage. Montreal’s the worst team in the NHL at 15-34-7 but they’ve been lately somehow and have seven wins in their last eight games so Martin St. Louis seems to have found a way to get more motivation for production out of these guys. On the season the Habs have been awful on both ends of the ice, they’ve scored the fewest goals in hockey, averaging only 2.41 goals per game and allowed the most in the NHL, an average of 3.79 goals per game. Sam Montembeault who’s projected to start in goal tonight for the Canadiens has sucked with a terrible 3.66 GAA and .897 save percentage. Their offense has been producing lately. They’ve scored at least four goals in five of their last six games and at least three goals in eight of their last nine (and the one that they didn’t, they beat Ottawa 2-1). In a low scoring grind the first time they played this season in Montreal on November 29th, the Canucks got a 2-1 win but these teams were both playing entirely different at that point of the year than they are now. I’d expect this to be a much higher scoring game that Vancouver wins at home. I’ll go with a unit on the over 6 in this game and a half unit each on the Canucks in regulation and Canucks TT over 3.5. I actually considered adding the Montreal TT over too for the first time this season but don’t see value in it against Demko.
1u Capitals/Oilers over 6 (-139)
1u Canucks/Canadiens over 6 (-130)
.5u Canucks in regulation (-139)
.5u Canucks TT over 3.5 (-136)
Record: 536-385-20 (+19.13 units)
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