Pretty much broke even on yesterday’s huge 13 game NHL slate going 9-8, losing 0.78 units. Tonight we just have four games to dive into.
Penguins vs. Golden Knights (7:00)
Last night in Jack Eichel’s return to Buffalo for the first time since getting traded, it didn’t go his way with the Knights losing 3-1 in a great game that saw former Golden Knights Peyton Krebs and Alex Tuch score but kept Jack off the score sheet. That was the second loss in a row for the Golden Knights against an inferior opponent after their Tuesday loss in Philly. Since putting Mark Stone on long term IR, Vegas has looked flat, with only four wins in their last twelve games and to me it seems like they’re going to try to pull off what Tampa did with Kucherov and wait till the playoffs to activate him. On the season they’re 32-23-4 and scoring a solid average of 3.08 goals per game but in their last twelve games have only mustered up a pathetic 1.92 goals per game average. Defensively the Knights are allowing 2.9 goals per game on average for the season. The Penguins are coming off back to back losses too, but against two of the best teams in the NHL, Florida and Carolina. They’re 34-15-9 on the year and they’ve been good on both ends of the ice. The Pens are scoring an average of 3.21 goals per game, eleventh most in the NHL. They’ve been one of the top teams in the league defensively, allowing the fourth fewest goals in the NHL, an average of 2.6 goals per game. Tristan Jarry’s been awesome this year in goal for Pittsburgh with a 2.34 GAA and .920 save percentage. The first time these teams played this season on January 17th in Vegas, the Pens got a 5-3 road win. With how flat Vegas is playing and the Knights on the second half of a back to back, I’d expect another Pittsburgh win tonight. I’ll go with the Pens in regulation for 2 units.
Blue Jackets vs. Wild (7:00)
These two teams are playing very similar hockey lately. They’re both decent offensively but they suck defensively. The Minnesota Wild started the season off great but come into tonight with a 34-19-3 record. They won back to back games against Detroit yesterday (6-5) and the Rangers on Tuesday (5-2) but only have four wins in their last twelve games. The Wild have one of the best offenses in the NHL, scoring a third most in the league average of 3.73 goals per game. They’ve been horrible defensively though, allowing a tenth most average of 3.23 goals per game on the season. Last night the Blue Jackets got embarrassed by the Islanders, losing 6-0 on Long Island. They’ve been very inconsistent, coming into tonight with a 28-27-3 record on a four game losing streak and only one win in their last seven games. The Columbus offense has been pretty good, averaging 3.22 goals per game, tenth most in the NHL. They’ve been one of the worst teams in the NHL defensively, allowing a third most in the NHL average of 3.69 goals per game. The Wild are the better team here but not enough to bet on with how lousy they’ve played lately. Both of these teams trend way over and I’m getting in on this game with two units on the alternate over 6.5. I’ll also go with a unit on the over 7.5 and half a unit on the over 8.
Islanders vs. Jets (7:30)
Last night the Isles pulled off a 6-0 win at home against Columbus but they’ve sucked this season, being the biggest disappointment in the NHL with their 22-24-8 record after having preseason expectations to contend for the Cup. They’ve been pretty good defensively, allowing a sixth fewest in the NHL average of 2.72 goals per game but they’ve done nothing offensively, scoring a seventh fewest in the league average of 2.63 goals per game. The Jets aren’t great. They’re 26-22-10, coming off back to back wins, beating NJ 2-1 yesterday and Tampa 7-4 on Tuesday. They’ve scored an average of 2.97 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.98 goals per game. The first time these teams played this season, the Isles won 2-0 in Winnipeg on November 6th. I’d slightly lean the Jets here but not enough to bet on it. I do like the under and will take the under 6 in regulation in this game for a unit.
Canucks vs. Capitals (10:00)
This should be a fun game to watch tonight. The Caps have been pretty inconsistent this year at 31-18-10 on the season. On Wednesday night they tied up their game against the Oilers on a TJ Oshie goal with less than two seconds left in the game (cashing my over) before losing 4-3 in overtime on a McDavid goal. That loss ended a three game win streak for the Caps. On the season, Washington has been good on both ends of the ice, averaging a ninth most in the NHL 3.24 goals per game and allowing a tenth fewest 2.78 goals per game. The Canucks went from being a flat, lousy team to start the season to playing really solid hockey under Bruce “there he is”. They’re coming into tonight’s game with a 29-23-6 record and on a three game win streak with eight wins in their last ten games. On the season, Vancouver is only averaging 2.86 goals per game, tenth fewest in the NHL but that hasn’t been the case lately as their offense is pouring it on, averaging 4.5 goals per game in their last twelve games. Defensively they’ve been really good all season, allowing a twelfth fewest average of 2.85 goals per game. In their January 16th matchup in Washington, the Canucks got a 4-2 road win. I’d lean the Canucks win this game at home tonight but not enough to bet on it and I’d lean the over but not enough to bet on either.
2u Penguins in regulation (-106)
2u Wild/Blue Jackets over 6.5 (-157)
1u Wild/Blue Jackets over 7.5 (+150)
.5u Wild/Blue Jackets over 8 (+200)
1u Jets/Islanders under 6 in regulation (-143)
Record: 549-393-20 (+21.35 units)
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