NHL Daily Gambling Preview – 11/13/22

I got off my losing streak, picking my spots on yesterday’s big NHL slate to go 2-2 and win 0.92 units. Today we have a six game Sunday slate. Let’s win!

Flyers vs. Stars (1:00)

The Stars have played good hockey this season but come into today’s game with two disappointing losses in a row, getting blown out 5-1 by the Jets on Tuesday. Instead of bouncing back on Friday in a great spot against the Sharks, they lost 5-4 at home after giving San Jose a 5-2 lead and not being able to climb out of it in a game where Dallas outshot the Sharks 29-18. Dallas is now 8-5-1 on the season. They’ve been good on both ends of the ice this year, scoring an average of 3.64 goals per game on an average of 30.2 shots per game while allowing an average of 2.64 goals per game on an average of 30.1 shots allowed. The Flyers come into tonight’s game on the second half of a back to back after a 4-1 loss at home against the Senators yesterday. They’re 7-5-2 on the season after a hot start to the year under Torts but now have just two wins in their last seven games. Their offense hasn’t improved at all from how lousy they were last year, averaging just 2.57 goals per game on an average of 28.4 shots on goal. Carter Hart has been incredible for them in goal though and they’ve allowed an average of 2.71 goals per game on an average of 34.6 shots allowed. Hart played last night for the Flyers, so they’ll be starting backup Felix Sandstrom in goal today who has a 3.07 GAA, .909 save percentage and a 1-3 record this year. In the two games between these teams last season, the Stars won both games by scores of 5-2 and 3-1. I will take the Stars in regulation for 1.5 units.

Bruins vs. Canucks (6:00)

The Bruins did pretty much what I expected last night, beating my Sabres 3-1 on the road to cash my biggest bet of the night. The B’s are the best team in the Eastern Conference so far this season with a 13-2 record. They come into tonight on a three game win streak with just one loss in their last eleven games. Boston has been fantastic on both ends of the ice. They’re scoring an average of 3.93 goals per game on an average of 34 shots per game. Defensively they’ve allowed an average of 2.2 goals per game on an average of 30.3 shots allowed. The Canucks are on the second half of a back to back as well after a 3-2 loss in Toronto last night. Vancouver’s been pretty brutal this year with a 4-8-3 record. Offensively they haven’t been too bad, averaging 3.4 goals per game on an average of 30.4 shots but their goaltending has been horrible, giving up an average of 4 goals per game on 33 shots allowed. Last year these teams split their two games, with a 3-2 Bruins win and 2-1 Canucks win. The B’s are the way better team here and although I don’t feel comfortable laying the -235 juice on the moneyline, they should win pretty easily at home tonight and I’ll take the Bruins in regulation for a unit.

Wild vs. Sharks (6:00)

Both these teams have been pretty lousy this year and they’re coming off wins on Friday on the road. Minnesota is coming off a 1-0 shutout in Seattle to improve to 7-6-1 on the season with their second win in a row. The Wild have struggled this year from the preseason expectations after having a great year last season. They’ve scored an average of 2.79 goals per game on an average of 31.8 shots per game. Their defense and goaltending was horrid to start the year but they have improved a lot on that end of the ice recently, allowing just a goal or less in four of their last five games. They’ve allowed an average of 3 goals per game this season on an average of 30.8 shots per game given up. They have backup goalie Filip Gustavsson confirmed in goal tonight, who has a 3.1 GAA, .904 save percentage and a 1-3 record this year. The Sharks, coming off a shocking 5-4 win in Dallas on Friday (big loser for me) are 4-9-3 on the year and playing pretty lousy hockey. Their offense has improved a good amount recently but they’re scoring an average of 2.75 goals per game on the season on an average of 30.2 shots per game. Defensively they’ve been pretty bad, unable to outscore their problems, allowing an average of 3.44 goals per game on an average of 31.4 shots allowed. Last year the Wild won two of their three games against the Sharks with a 5-4 and 5-2 win along with a 4-1 loss. I’d lean the Wild win this game at home here tonight but not enough to bet on it, especially at the price. I’d also lean the over, but not enough to bet it with the Wild trending under significantly as of late and the Sharks trending over.

Rangers vs. Coyotes (7:00)

The Coyotes finally lost last night, ending their unlikely three game win streak with a 4-2 loss in New Jersey against the very good Devils. The Yotes are shockingly 6-7-1 on the season, but they’ve played shitty hockey and lucked into their wins. Arizona’s offense has scored an average of 2.79 goals per game despite only generating an average of 23.4 shots per game. Defensively, even with Karel Vejmelka stealing away a few wins, they’ve allowed an average of 3.57 goals per game on an average of 35 shots allowed. The Rangers lost 2-1 in Nashville last night and haven’t played great lately, coming into tonight’s game with a 7-6-3 record with just one win in their last five games. They haven’t been great on either end of the ice, scoring an average of 3 goals per game on an average of 34.9 shots on goal and allowing an average of 2.88 goals per game on an average of 28 shots allowed. These teams already played once this year with the Rags grinding out a 3-2 win on October 30th in a game they outshot Arizona 39-20. The Rangers should win this game pretty easily at home tonight but they haven’t done anything to impress me enough to even consider betting this game at the insane -360 moneyline especially with how the Coyotes seem to be stealing away wins as of late. I’ll just lay off this game. I’d slightly lean the under but not enough to bet it.

Lightning vs. Capitals (7:00)

These teams are on the second half of a home and home after a dominant 5-1 win for the Caps at home on Friday night. Washington shut out the Bolts for 48 minutes and road a 4-0 lead to the win while getting outshot 29-23. That big of a loss for Tampa was surprising to me (and a loss on my bet there). The Lightning have been decent this season, coming into tonight’s game with a 7-6-1 record but they have just one win in their last four games. On the season they’ve been fine offensively, scoring an average of 3.07 goals per game but they’ve struggled a bit on the back end, even with Vasilevskiy in goal. They’re allowing an average of 3.21 goals per game on an average of 31.1 shots allowed. The Caps are 7-7-2 and have suffered the most injuries to start the season of any team in the NHL this year. They’ve done okay despite not having a huge core of their team and are both scoring and allowing an average of 2.88 goals per game, getting outshot by an average of 28.1-33.1. All three games between these teams last season were decided by just a goal with Tampa winning two of the three. I’d expect the Lightning to bounce back and get revenge for their loss on Friday with a win at home tonight. The moneyline is a bit expensive at -175, but I’ll take it for half a unit.

Kraken vs. Jets (8:00)

Both these teams are playing good hockey right now and coming off losses in their last game. Last night the Jets ended their three game win streak with a 3-2 loss in Calgary. They’re now 8-4-1 on the season. They’ve been pretty good on both ends of the ice. Winnipeg is averaging 3.08 goals per game on an average of 30.5 shots per game and with great goaltending from Connor Hellebuyck, they’ve allowed an average of just 2.39 goals per game on an average of 31.5 shots per game. With Hellebuyck starting last night, he’s projected to get the night off with David Rittich projected to start. He sucks and has a 3.07 GAA, .885 save percentage in his two games this season (one of which was against the lowly Coyotes). The Kraken got shut out 1-0 at home by the Wild on Friday night ending their five game win streak. They’re now 8-5-2 on the season, a big improvement from their inaugural season last year. They’ve improved on both ends of the ice. Seattle is averaging 3.33 goals per game on an average of 29.9 shots on goal and they’ve allowed an average of 2.8 goals per game on an average of 27.1 shots allowed. Last year the Jets swept Seattle with 3-0, 5-3 and 4-3 wins. With the Jets projected to start Rittich in goal, I’d expect Seattle to continue to be able to score and I’ll take the Kraken team total over 3 for a unit. I’d lean they win too but would rather just stick to the team total here. I’d also lean the over but not enough to bet it.

Game Bets

1.5u Stars in regulation (-110)

1u Bruins in regulation (-141)

.5u Lightning ML (-175)

1u Kraken TT over 3 (-152)

Futures

1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)

2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)

1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)

Record: 106-100-2 (-20.75 units)

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