NHL Daily Gambling Preview – 12/3/22

My incredible week of rolling through the NHL, that came to an end last night as I got reverse swept going 0-4 to lose 7.74 units. Got fucking crushed, completely wiping out the big profits for the week. To bounce back we have a giant 13 game slate. Let’s win!

Wild vs. Ducks (2:00)

The Ducks are easily the worst team in the NHL. After getting shut out 5-0 in Dallas on Thursday, they’re on a four game losing streak with only two wins in their last twelve games. This team stinks, coming into today’s game with a 6-16-2 record and only one win all season in regulation. Anaheim is one of the worst teams in the league on both ends of the ice. The Wild, after a horrible start to the season have gotten much better as of late. They come into today’s game at 11-9-2 and after a 5-3 win against the Oilers on Thursday (nice win on the over) and they’re rolling with four wins in their last five games, playing much better hockey on both ends of the ice. When these teams played the first time this season, the Wild beat the Ducks 4-1 in Anaheim on November 9th, outshooting the Ducks 39-32. I like them to win pretty easily at home this afternoon and will take the Wild in regulation for a unit. The moneyline is too expensive for me to trust.

Bruins vs. Avalanche (7:00)

This is an incredible matchup. The Bruins are a fucking problem with a historic start to their season. They’re leading the NHL with a 19-3 record and they’re a perfect 13-0 at home this season. Coming off a 3-1 win against the Lightning on Tuesday, the B’s have only one loss in their last ten games. They’ve been phenomenal on both ends of the ice at the top of the league both offensively and defensively. I was in attendance on Thursday night in Buffalo as the Avalanche picked up a 6-4 victory that was a very entertaining game to improve to 13-7-1 on the season after winning the Cup last year. They’ve been very good on both ends of the ice as well. I’d expect a really good game here and give the Bruins the edge. I’ll take the Bruins to keep the home win streak going for half a unit against the defending Cup champs.

Red Wings vs. Golden Knights (7:00)

The Golden Knights have been very good this season, bouncing back from missing the playoffs last year with a 17-7-1 record so far this year to lead the Western Conference. They’re on their worst stretch of the year, coming off a 4-3 loss in Pittsburgh on Thursday with only one win in their last four games (which came in a shootout against the Blue Jackets). They’ve played phenomenal hockey this year on both ends of the ice. The Red Wings are much improved from last season too, coming into tonight’s game with an 11-6-5 record. On Wednesday night in Buffalo they came back from down 4-1 in the third period to force overtime and with some bad luck hitting two straight posts in the shootout, went on to lost 5-4, their second loss in a row after a four game win streak. They’ve improved a lot offensively but haven’t been great defensively. I like the Golden Knights to get a win here and will take them for half a unit.

Oilers vs. Canadiens (7:00)

After going on a three game win streak, the Oilers fell 5-3 to the Wild on Thursday night to drop to 13-11 on the season. McDavid and Draisaitl are leading the way for Edmonton offensively as two of the best players in the league but there isn’t much depth offensively on this team behind those two. They’ve struggled quite a bit defensively too, needing to out score their shitty defense and goaltending to win. The Habs are coming off a big 2-1 win in Calgary on Thursday and have played much better this season than last year, coming into tonight’s game with a 12-10-1 record and three wins in their last four games. They’re not a great team though in general. I’d lean the Oilers and the over in this game but don’t think its worth betting on either, so I’ll just lay off this game.

Senators vs. Sharks (7:00)

This is quite a shitty matchup between two lousy teams. Last night the Senators were in NY to face off against the Rangers. Brady Tkachuk scored the game tying goal with just 49 seconds and then in overtime he scored again to give Ottawa a 3-2 win on the road. They’ve now won three of their last four games to improve to 9-13-1 on the season. They’ve played pretty good offensively this season but have struggled on the back end. The Sharks haven’t been great either, coming into tonight with an 8-14-4 record and coming off a 3-1 loss in Toronto on Wednesday (that probably should’ve been a bigger blowout) with only one win in their last five games. San Jose has struggled on both ends of the ice. These teams just played in San Jose on November 21st with a 5-1 blowout win despite getting outshot 38-31. I’d lean the Sharks get a win on the road here with the Sens on the second half of a back to back after their big win last night but this type of game matching up two lousy teams isn’t something I want to bet. I’ll stay off this game.

Flyers vs. Devils (7:00)

The Devils blew their game and prevented me from having a huge night with a 4.5+ unit swing for me as they gave up the tying goal to the Preds on Thursday with just eight seconds left in regulation, going on to lose 4-3 in overtime. That game ended a three game win streak for the Devils with just their second loss in their last 18 games as they’re now an impressive 19-4-1 on the season. This team’s a full blown Stanley Cup contender, playing incredible offense leading the league in expected goals and high danger scoring opportunities while locking it down on the back end. The Flyers on the other hand suck. They’re coming off a 4-1 loss to Tampa on home ice on Thursday (easy winner for me) and picking up just one win in their last twelve games are now 8-11-5 on the year. Philly’s offense has been pathetic and even with Carter Hart’s really good play in goal, they’re still having issues on the back end. The first game between these teams on one of the first nights of the season October 13th, the Flyers got a now shocking 5-2 win at home. I don’t see this game going that way whatsoever and expect the score to be flipped. I’ll take the Devils in regulation for 2 units. I’d lean the under but not enough to bet on it.

Penguins vs. Blues (7:00)

This is an interesting matchup between two cross conference teams that have been very streaky this year. The Penguins are playing pretty good hockey right now. Coming off a 4-3 win at home against Vegas on Thursday, they’ve gone 8-2-2 in their last twelve games to improve to 12-8-4 on the season. The Pittsburgh offense has been rolling all season but they’ve struggled defensively. The Blues are 11-12 and playing a pretty lousy stretch of hockey right now, coming off a 6-4 loss at home to the Hurricanes on Thursday they’ve only won one game in their last five. St. Louis has been struggling quite a bit on both ends of the ice, especially defensively. I like Pittsburgh to win here at home tonight and will take them for half a unit along with the over for half a unit.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs (7:00)

This should be a great game between two teams playing really good hockey. Coming off a 3-1 win at home against San Jose on Wednesday where Mitch Marner set a franchise record for longest point streak, the Leafs picked up their fifth straight win and have gotten at least a point in each of their last ten games with an 11-1-3 record in their last 15 games to improve to 15-5-5 on the year. They’ve played surprisingly well on both ends of the ice, especially defensively even with a depleted D core. The Lightning are playing good hockey too. They’re 14-8-1 coming off an easy 4-1 win in Philly on Thursday and have just two losses in their last nine games, both against the NHL leading Bruins. Tampa’s offense has been cruising but they’ve struggled a bit defensively with somewhat shaky play from Vasilevskiy in goal. I’d slightly lean the Leafs get a win on the road here and would lean the under but neither enough to bet on. I’m traveling today but if I was home I would absolutely tune into this game.

Rangers vs. Blackhawks (7:30)

Last night the Rangers gave up the tying goal in their game against the Sens with just 49 seconds left in regulation and then went on to lose in overtime at home against a very lousy Senators team. The Rags have been a very mid tier team this year that’s a far cry from how good they were last year on their trip to the Eastern Conference Finals. They’ve only gotten one win in their last five games and come into today with an 11-9-5 record. They haven’t been able to generate much scoring and Igor’s not playing to the insane level he did last year when he won the Vezina. The Blackhawks are even worse. One of the worst teams in hockey with a 6-12-4 record, coming off a 5-4 loss at home to the Oilers on Wednesday they’re on an eight game losing streak with just two wins in their last 16 games. They’ve played pathetic hockey on both ends of the ice. I’d lean the Rangers win here but with how poorly they’ve played lately and that they’re on the second half of a back to back, I’ll just lay off this game which I don’t see any value in whatsoever at -275. I considered betting the Rangers team total over, but with their inability to score, I’ll just skip this game.

Flames vs. Capitals (10:00)

These two underachieving cross conference teams just played each other a little over a week ago on November 25th in Washington with the Caps getting a 3-0 shutout win. The Caps, who have struggled a ton with injuries this season are 10-11-4. They blew a 2-0 lead on Thursday in Seattle, with the Kraken beating them 3-2 in overtime but the Capitals have played well lately with a 3-1-1 record in their last five games. The Flames just took a disappointing 2-1 loss at home against the Habs on Thursday and have only gotten one win in their last five games, coming into tonight’s game with a 10-10-3 record. This team was one of my preseason picks to win the Cup but I don’t see that happening with how they’ve played. Both of these teams I don’t think are that bad but they’ve both struggled a bit on both ends of the ice. I do think Calgary is the better, more well rounded team and I’d lean the Flames and the under here but not enough to bet on either. I’ll lay off this game.

Kraken vs. Panthers (10:00)

The Seattle Kraken are an absolute electric factory this season. They’re coming off a comeback 3-2 overtime win in Washington on Thursday to extend their winning streak to seven straight. They have a 12-1-1 record in their last 14 games putting them just two points behind the Golden Knights with the second best record in the Western Conference at 15-5-3. This team’s good this year and they’re fun to watch. They haven’t been great defensively but their offense is buzzing, seemingly scoring at will every night. The Panthers have taken a big step back from how well they played last season and come into tonight’s game at 11-9-4 after ended a three game losing streak with a big 5-1 win (a goal short of hitting my over) on Thursday in Vancouver. Florida’s offense has been really good again but they’ve struggled on the back end all season. I like the Kraken to keep the win streak going here at home tonight. I’ll take the Kraken ML for a unit and the over for 1.5 units.

Canucks vs. Coyotes (10:00)

The Coyotes are easily one of the worst teams in hockey once again this year, looking like a lottery pick trying to get Connor Bedard. They’re 7-11-3 on the year, coming into tonight’s game on a three game losing streak after a 5-3 loss in LA on Thursday. They’ve only gotten one win in their last eight games and have played quite poorly on both ends of the ice. The Canucks come into tonight with two 5-1 home losses in a row against the Panthers on Thursday and the Capitals on Tuesday. They haven’t been great either this year with a 9-12-3 record. Although they’ve been pretty good offensively, their goaltending and defense has been one of the worst units in the NHL this season. I do think Vancouver’s a significantly better team in this matchup and I’ll take the Canucks in regulation for half a unit, expecting a “get right” win for them at home tonight. I’d lean the over but not enough to bet on it.

Kings vs. Hurricanes (10:30)

The Hurricanes, coming off a 6-4 win in St. Louis on Thursday seem to be getting right after some struggles. They’re a solid 13-6-5 on the season and on a three game win streak right now. Carolina’s struggled to score this season but they have been very good defensively. The Kings are sort of the opposite. They’re 13-9-4, coming off a 5-3 win against the Yotes on Thursday. LA’s been really solid offensively but they’ve struggled a ton on the back end, pretty much flipping the switch for how they played last year where they were great defensively but struggled to score. I’d lean the Canes get a win on the road here and would slightly lean the under but neither are enticing enough for me to bet on. I’ll lay off this late matchup.

Game Bets

1u Wild in regulation (-175)

.5u Bruins ML (-165)

.5u Golden Knights ML (-145)

2u Devils in regulation (-137)

.5u Penguins ML (-175)

.5u Penguins/Blues over 6.5 (+110)

1u Kraken ML (+100)

1.5u Kraken/Panthers over 6.5 (+100)

.5u Canucks in regulation (-130)

Futures

1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)

1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)

2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)

1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)

1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)

Record: 165-149-2 (-18.26 units)


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