NHL Daily Gambling Preview – 12/4/22

I didn’t quite get the bounce back day I wanted yesterday on the NHL, but it wasn’t terrible going 5-4 to lose 0.84 units. Five games for this Sunday slate today, let’s bounce back!

No video this morning.

Stars vs. Wild (3:00)

Both of these teams are coming off wins against the lowly Anaheim Ducks. Yesterday afternoon the Wild needed a shootout to beat the Ducks in a 5-4 game that actually ended up being way closer than I had expected for it to be but Minnesota did play well, outshooting Anaheim 49-33. That was the Wild’s third straight win to improve to 12-9-2 on the year. They’ve played much better hockey than how they started the season on both ends of the ice, but as evidenced yesterday, they’re still struggling a bit defensively. The Stars have been phenomenal this season, rolling into today’s game off a 5-0 shutout win at home against the Ducks on Thursday. They’re 14-6-4 on the season with a 5-1-2 record in their last eight games. Dallas has far exceeded my expectations for them in the preseason, playing fantastic hockey on both ends of the ice. With the Wild on the second half of a back to back on the road and with how well the Stars are playing this year, I like Dallas to win this game. I’ll take the Stars for 1.5 units.

Jets vs. Ducks (3:00)

The Jets put up a complete dud of a game at home on Friday night, losing 4-1 to the lousy Columbus Blue Jackets to give me a double loser in a game where they outshot the Jackets 38-26. Winnipeg’s been a very good team this season, which made that loss even more surprising. That loss ended a three game win streak but the Jets are 14-7-1 on the season. They’ve played quite well on both ends of the ice this year with solid offense and good defense back stopped by one of the best goalies in the league. The Ducks put up a better performance than I expected yesterday afternoon, losing 5-4 in a shootout against the Wild. That was their fifth straight loss and this is the worst team in the NHL with a 6-16-3 record on the season, only one regulation win and just two wins in their last 13 games. They’ve played terrible hockey on both ends of the ice. Kyle Connor scored a hat trick in the first game this season between these teams, a 3-2 victory for the Jets at home on November 17th in a game that was way more of a sweat than it should’ve been but I cashed in on the regulation win as Connor scored the game winner with just 54 seconds left in the game. I don’t expect this game to be nearly as close. I really like the Jets to bounce back here from their loss on Friday with a win at home against an already horrible Ducks team on the second half of a back to back. I’ll take Winnipeg in regulation for 2 units.

Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings (6:00)

The Blue Jackets three game losing streak came to an end on Friday night, in a shocker of a game for me that turned into a double loser as they beat the Jets 4-1 in Winnipeg in a game where they got outshot 38-26. Columbus is horrible this season with an 8-12-2 record and they’ve really struggled on both ends of the ice. The Red Wings aren’t world beaters by any means but they have improved a lot from last season with an 11-7-5 record. They’ve lost their last two games in a row, coming off a 5-4 shootout loss to the Sabres at home on Wednesday night. Detroit came back from down 4-1 in the third period of the game, forcing overtime and then running into pretty much bad luck, hitting two posts in the shootout to lose. Detroit’s been pretty good offensively this season, but they’ve struggled a bit on the back end. To make that worse, they’re projected to start Alex Nedeljkovic again in goal, who’s struggled quite a bit with a 3.97 GAA and .880 save percentage in his seven starts this year. Less than two weeks ago when these teams played in Columbus on November 19th, the Red Wings dominated in a 6-1 win. If Husso was starting I’d be all over the Red Wings in this game, but I’m less confident in Nedeljkovic, especially on the road so I’ll stay off a side on this one. I’ll take the Red Wings team total over 3 and the over in this game for a unit each. 

Sabres vs. Sharks (7:00)

On Thursday night while I was in attendance, the Sabres hosted the defending Cup Champion Avalanche and while they played a very entertaining solid game, just got outplayed by the Avs in a 6-4 loss. Buffalo’s 10-13-1 and haven’t played too bad. The offense has been top notch, even producing in losses. The defense, goaltending and especially the penalty kill has been what’s been pretty bad for the Sabres, bleeding away goals every night. The Sharks have been pretty terrible this season. Coming off a 5-2 loss in Ottawa last night, they’ve only picked up one win in their last six games with a 8-15-4 record. They’ve struggled on both ends of the ice. The Sharks are likely starting backup Aaron Dell tonight against his old team. I’d expect us to be able to score on him pretty easily. I’ll take the Sabres and the Sabres team total over 3 for a unit each.

Islanders vs. Blackhawks (7:30)

The Islanders have now lost two lousy games in a row that going into those games seemed like great spots for them, losing 4-1 to the Predators on Friday and 3-1 in Philly on Tuesday. They’ve been pretty good on the season with a 15-10 record and they’ve played very well on both ends of the ice. The Blackhawks have been really bad this year with a 7-12-4 record but they’re coming off a big 5-2 win in MSG last night against the Rangers that ended their eight game losing streak. They’ve struggled big time on both ends of the ice and will definitely be a lottery team. The first time these teams played this season on November 1st in Chicago, the Isles won 3-1, outshooting the Hawks 33-22. I’d expect the Islanders to win this game, especially with the Blackhawks on the second half of a back to back on the road and will take them in regulation for half a unit.

Game Bets

1.5u Stars ML (-140)

2u Jets in regulation (-143)

1u Red Wings TT over 3 (-155)

1u Red Wings/Blue Jackets over 6.5 (-120)

1u Sabres ML (-155)

1u Sabres TT over 3 (-186)

.5u Islanders in regulation (-175)

Futures

1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)

1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)

2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)

1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)

1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)

Record: 170-153-2 (-19.1 units)


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