2-1 yesterday but lost my bigger bet to end up down 0.3 units on the NHL for the day. No biggie. Tonight we have a six game slate with some really fun games.
Canadiens vs. Flames (7:00)
The Flames played a solid, close game in Toronto on Saturday night, ultimately losing 5-4 in overtime to the Leafs (winner for me), their second loss in a row. Calgary has played pretty well lately though, improving to 13-11-4 on the season with a 4-2-1 record in their last seven games. Their offense has been pretty decent this season but going from being one of the best defensive teams in the NHL last season, they’ve taken a step back on the back end this year. The Habs, coming off a 4-2 loss at home to the Kings on Saturday have made huge improvements from last year coming into tonight with a 13-12-2 record but they’re by no means world beaters. They’ve been okay offensively but have struggled quite a bit this season defensively. The first game between these teams this season on December 1st in Calgary, the Flames poured it on, outshooting Montreal 46-19 but ultimately the Canadiens got the 2-1 win. I like the Flames to win tonight on the road to tie up their season series against Montreal. The moneyline at -220 is too expensive for me but I’ll take Calgary in regulation for half a unit.
Rangers vs. Devils (7:00)
The Rangers have finally gotten into a bit of a groove. Coming off a 2-1 shootout win against a highly injured Avs team on the road on Friday, the Rags are on a three game win streak with a 4-1-1 record in their last six games to improve to 14-10-5 on the year. They’ve been a big disappointment this year from their offseason expectations after going on their run to the Eastern Conference Finals last year. They’ve been okay offensively and nothing special defensively without Igor Shesterkin performing to the same insane level he did last year. The Devils on the other hand are absolutely incredible. They’re 21-5-1 and one of the best teams in the NHL but are coming off a 6-4 loss to the Isles on Friday night. Their offense is spectacular and one of the best units in the NHL with their defense and goaltending being surprisingly one of the best in the league as well. In the first matchup between these teams this year on November 28th in New York, the Rangers blew a 2-0 lead just 3:01 into the game with the Devils going on to win 5-3. The Devils are the way better team here and I like them to bounce back from their loss to the Isles with a win tonight in MSG against the Rags. The line on this game at a pick em is cheaper than I thought it would be and I’ll take Jersey for half a unit.
Penguins vs. Stars (7:00)
The Penguins won back to back matchups against my Sabres this weekend, beating them 4-3 in overtime in Buffalo on Friday night and 3-1 at home on Saturday. Those wins extended Pittsburgh’s win streak to five straight games and with a 10-1-1 record in their last twelve games they’re 16-8-4 on the season. The Pens offense has been fantastic all season and although they’ve struggled at points defensively, they’ve improved on the back end as of late. The Stars are having a very good season as well. Coming off two OT wins in a row against the Red Wings on Saturday and the Senators on Thursday, they’re 16-7-5 with a 4-1-1 record in their last six games. Dallas has been great this season on both ends of the ice, exceeding my expectations for them which were pretty much an on the brink wild card team. This team could potentially make a great run in the West. I’d lean the Penguins win this game at home and would also lean the over, but not enough to bet on either. This is a great game and likely the best on tonight’s slate.
Senators vs. Ducks (7:30)
Saturday afternoon the Sens got a 3-2 win in Nashville on their dad’s trip, a loss for me. After their horrendous 6-12-1 start to the year, they’ve since improved with a 5-2-1 record in their last eight games, coming into tonight’s game with an 11-14-2 record. Ottawa’s offense has been decent all season but they’ve struggled a ton defensively and that’s since improved as well, leading to their recent wins. Tonight they’ll have arguably their easiest matchup of the season against the worst team in the NHL, the Ducks. Anaheim’s 7-18-3 on the season and just got blown out 6-1 to the Sharks on Friday. They’ve only picked up three wins in their last 16 games and have just one win in regulation all season. This team flat out blows. On November 25th in Anaheim, the Senators routed the Ducks in a 5-1 blowout that was a shutout until 2:50 left in the game. I’d expect another easy win for the Senators at home tonight. No way am I laying -230 on the Sens but I’ll take them in regulation for half a unit.
Wild vs. Oilers (8:00)
This should be an action packed, fun game after these teams just played last Friday. In that game, The Oilers got a 5-2 win at home despite getting outshot 44-38, answering back from the 5-3 Minnesota win at home the first time these teams played this season on December 1st. After losing to the Oilers, the Wild bounced back on Saturday with a 3-0 shutout win in Vancouver (easy winner to close out my night). Minnesota’s played well recently with seven wins in their last ten games to improve to 14-11-2 on the season. They’ve been decent offensively but not all that great on the back end. The Oilers have won six of their last eight games. McDavid and Draisaitl are two of the best players in the NHL and are driving what’s become a great offense, despite there not being much depth behind them. I’d lean the Wild win this game tonight at home but not enough to bet it. I like the over though, which I’ll take for half a unit. Both games between these teams went over and I expect that trend to continue with both teams scoring on defenses that have holes in them.
Blues vs. Predators (8:00)
The St. Louis Blues have been horrendous lately. Coming off a 3-2 overtime loss at home to a very injured Avs team yesterday, they are 12-15-1 on the season with only two wins in their last ten games. Their offense hasn’t been all that great and their defense and goaltending has been some of the worst in hockey in that stretch. This team’s playing brutal hockey and way underachieving. A pretty big disappointment for a team that last year gave the Cup champs their best playoff series in the second round and are mostly the same roster. The Preds on Saturday afternoon took their second loss in a row, losing 3-2 to the Senators at home. They have played relatively well lately with a 7-3-1 record in their last eleven games games to improve to 12-11-2 on the year after their disappointing start to the season. Nashville’s offense has been far underperforming all year but their defense and Juuse Saros’ goaltending has improved. The first meeting between these Central Division teams this season on October 27th in Smashville, the Predators dominated the Blues with a 6-2 victory. I’d lean the Preds get another win against them here on the road with how terribly St. Louis has played as of late, but not enough to bet on them. I do like the over though and will take the alternate over 6 here for half a unit.
.5u Flames in regulation (-132)
.5u Devils ML (-110)
.5u Senators in regulation (-141)
.5u Wild/Oilers over 6.5 (-110)
.5u Predators/Blues over 6 (-110)
1u BONUS PARLAY: Flames ML & Devils ML & Senators -1.5 & Wild/Oilers over 6 & Predators/Blues over 5.5 (+1474)
1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)
1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)
2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)
1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)
1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)
Record: 191-176-2 (-29.4 units)
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