Even with two games being significant losses for me for the Sabres and the Lightning, I still had a really good night on yesterday’s ten-game NHL slate to close out February, going 9-4 to win 1.82 units. After an exciting day of trades, tonight we have a fun six game slate.
Flyers vs. Rangers (7:30)
It’s SHOWTIME on Broadway! Yesterday the Rangers officially acquired Patrick Kane from the Blackhawks after a week of waiting for the deal to get done. The greatest American-born hockey player of all time joins his former teammate Artemi Panarin and the Rags, who also made the huge move of adding Vladimir Tarasenko already. Chris Drury is trying to build a Stanley Cup Champion this season after his team went to the Eastern Conference Finals last year, and they’re 100% a contender to lift Lord Stanley. The Rags are coming off a 5-2 win against the Kings at home on sunday that ended a four game losing slump for them after they had gone on a seven game win streak prior to that. They’re in third place in the Metro Division with a 34-17-9 record. New York’s played really well on both ends of the ice. The Flyers, coming off a 7-0 blowout loss in New Jersey on Saturday are on a three game losing streak with just one win in their last eight games. They’ve sucked this season, with a 23-28-10 average. Their offense is one of the worst in the NHL and their defense has been a little below league average. The Rangers won both previous games between these teams in different fashion, winning 1-0 in overtime of a double shutout at home on November 1st and a 6-3 win in Philly on December 17th. I’d expect them to win easily tonight in Kaner’s debut. The moneyline is a bit expensive at -220, but I’ll take the Rangers in regulation for a unit. I’ll also take the alternate over 5.5 for a unit and the Rangers TT over 3.5 for half a unit.
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs (8:00)
This should be a very fun cross-conference game. The Leafs are pretty much locked into a first round rematch with the Lightning, in second place in the Atlantic Division with a 37-15-8 record. They’ve won their last three games in a row and five of their last six games. Yesterday Toronto traded Rasmus Sandin to the Caps in exchange for Erik Gustafsson. They’ve played fantastic on both ends of the ice this season. The Oilers have struggled a bit recently, with just two wins in their last eight games to drop to 32-21-8 on the season. They’re still in a Wild Card spot in the West and although they’ve only picked up those two wins in their last six games, they’ve picked up at least a point in 16 of their last 19 games. On Monday night they played against the Bruins, who didn’t play great but still beat the Oilers 3-2. Edmonton made several moves yesterday, sending Jesse Puljujarvi to the Canes to free up cap space and then acquiring Mattias Ekholm along with a sixth-round pick from Nashville in exchange for Tyson Barrie, Reid Schaefer, a first-round pick and a fourth-round pick. The Oilers lead the NHL in scoring this season led by the two best players in the league in Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. Their defense and goaltending has been quite the struggle though. I’d slightly lean the Leafs win tonight on the road but don’t think its worth betting on. I like the over though quite a bit which I will take for a unit.
Stars vs. Coyotes (8:30)
This is a huge Central Division mismatch, as evidenced by the -400 price on Dallas at home tonight. The Stars are leading the division with a 31-16-13 record but they’ve struggled recently. Coming off a 5-4 overtime loss to the Canucks at home on Monday, they’ve only gotten one win in their last seven games. They have picked up at least a point in eleven of their last 14 games. Statistically the Stars have been good on both ends of the ice this year. The Coyotes are coming off a 4-1 win against the Blackhawks last night, their fourth win in their last seven games. Although the Yotes have been one of the worst teams in the NHL this season with a 21-30-9 record, they’ve picked up at least a point in ten of their last twelve games and haven’t been an easy out for their opponents. Arizona’s statistically been one of the worst teams in the NHL on both ends of the ice. Dallas dominated both previous games between these teams, winning 7-2 at the Mullett on November 3rd and then shutting out the Coyotes 4-0 at home on January 21st. The Stars should win again pretty easily but the prices in this game are insane and it isn’t worth betting them on the moneyline, puck line, or regulation line. I will take the Stars team total over 3.5 for half a unit tonight.
Avalanche vs. Devils (9:00)
Both of these teams have been incredible, setting up an awesome cross-conference matchup for tonight. The Devils are coming off a 7-0 blowout win at home against the Flyers on Monday night and are comfortably in second place in the Metro Division with a 39-15-5 record, going 15-3-2 in their last 20 games. The Devils acquired Timo Meier in a huge trade from the Sharks, although he’s still out with an upper body injury and won’t make his debut tonight. New Jersey has played fantastic hockey on both ends of the ice this year. The Avs are looking like the defending Cup champs, in third place in the Central Division with a 34-19-5 record. Coming off a dominant 3-0 shutout win against the Golden Knights on Monday, they’re on a six game win streak. The first game between these teams in New Jersey on October 28th, the Devils grinded it out for a 1-0 win at home. I’d slightly lean the Devils get the win on the road with their offense being the edge to their win but this game is essentially a coin flip to me. I’d heavily lean the under as well, expecting a defensive battle tonight, but not enough for me to bet it. I’ll stay off this game but be sure to tune into it.
Ducks vs. Capitals (10:00)
This game isn’t an exciting one by any means. I broke this down in depth with my article on StatSalt. As I said in that article, I like the Caps to win here and will lay the juice on them for half a unit. I’d lean the under in this game but not enough to bet it.
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes (10:00)
Awesome cross conference game tonight between the Western Conference leading Golden Knights and the Metro Division leading Hurricanes. I wrote an article on StatSalt breaking this game down in depth. Like I said in the article, I like the Canes to win on the road and will take them for half a unit. I also love the under in this game expecting a defensive battle between the two teams that have given up the two fewest expected goal totals in the league. I’ll take the alternate under 6 for 1.5 units.
1u Rangers in regulation (-134)
1u Rangers/Flyers over 5.5 (-136)
.5u Rangers TT over 3.5 (-115)
1u Maple Leafs/Oilers over 6.5 (-136)
.5u Stars TT over 3.5 (-162)
.5u Capitals ML (-200)
.5u Hurricanes ML (-145)
1.5 Hurricanes/Golden Knights under 6 (-132)
1u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1000)
1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)
2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)
1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)
1u New York Rangers – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)
1u New Jersey Devils – Stanley Cup Champions (+1600)
Record: 502-418-17 (-43.84 units)
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