I finished the second round losing 4.32 units on Game 7 between the Stars and the Kraken. Not what I hoped after a decent week. After a few nice nights off, tonight the Eastern Conference Finals begin with Game 1 in Carolina between the Hurricanes and the Florida Panthers.
Game 1: Hurricanes vs. Panthers (8:00)
The Carolina Hurricanes and the Florida Panthers have both been waiting almost a week for this series to start as they both advanced to the Eastern Conference Finals in five games, with the Panthers defeating the Leafs and the Canes defeating the Devils. The series will kick off tonight in Carolina for Game 1. I broke the whole series down in depth in my series preview blog last night. As I said in that blog, although I doubted Carolina in the second round, gotta give them a ton of credit now that they’ve advanced through two rounds, relatively easily, all without their top three players. I think they’re the superior team in this series and although I was wrong picking against Florida against the Bruins and the Leafs, I’m doing it again here. Especially with Teravainen possibly returned as he’s no longer in a no contact jersey in practice, I expect the Hurricanes to win this series and advance to the Stanley Cup Finals. I already have a future on the Canes to win the cup from early in the season with awesome value at +1300 for 1.5 units. That’s fantastic going into the Eastern Conference Finals (with futures on both teams in the West as well) and I hedged that a bit with half a unit on Sergei Bobrovsky to win the Conn Smythe Trophy. Bobrovsky’s been fantastic these playoffs and without his incredible play between the pipes, there’s not a chance the Panthers would be at this point. I think the only way Florida wins the Cup is behind his great goaltending, so, solid value on that hedge. Expecting Carolina to win this series, I will take them to do so for 2 units at a cheaper -130 price than I had expected. I also think they start the series tomorrow winning Game 1 at home, where they’ve been fantastic and will take them for a unit.
1u Hurricanes ML (-141)
2u Carolina Hurricanes – Eastern Conference Champions (-130)
2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)
1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)
2u Dallas Stars – Stanley Cup Champions (+815)
.5u Sergei Bobrovsky – Conn Smythe Trophy Winner (+4000)
Record: 798-663-35 (-73.1 units)
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