Matthew Tkachuk was the hero in 4OT last night in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, giving Florida a 1-0 series win on the road, losing me 1.42 units. Tonight the Western Conference Finals begins with Game 1 in Vegas between the Golden Knights and the Dallas Stars.
Game 1: Golden Knights vs. Stars (8:30)
We have a fantastic Western Conference Championship matchup between the top seed in the West, the Vegas Golden Knights and the Dallas Stars. The Knights advanced after defeating the Jets and the Oilers while the Stars got past the Wild and the Kraken. I broke this series down in depth in my long blog I wrote last night. I have 2 unit futures on both of these teams to win the Stanley Cup, the Golden Knights with incredible value at +1200 from very early in the season and the Stars from during the playoffs with some solid value at +815. I think this ends up being a competitive series that goes six or seven games and I’ll take the series to go over 5.5 games for 2 units along with half a unit on it to go to Game 7. I’m a bit biased as the Knights are my second favorite team in the NHL behind my beloved Sabres, but I’d lean Vegas wins this series and are the deeper, more well-rounded team, but note enough to bet them to win it. I do win a good amount more on my Knights future than my Stars future, but I’ll let them both ride. I’d lean the Knights win Game 1 at home on Friday night, but not enough to bet them, so I’ll stay off the side in Game 1. I expect the games in this series to go over, with the second-round series for both of these teams trending that way. I will take the over, which is set at just 5.5 with a great price at -103, for 1.5 units.
1.5u Golden Knights/Stars over 5.5 (-103)
2u Carolina Hurricanes – Eastern Conference Champions (-130)
2u Golden Knights/Stars over 5.5 games (-186)
.5u Golden Knights/Stars over 6.5 games (+200)
2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)
1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)
2u Dallas Stars – Stanley Cup Champions (+815)
.5u Sergei Bobrovsky – Conn Smythe Trophy Winner (+4000)
Record: 798-664-35 (-74.52 units)
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