My Sabres were awful last night, but solid night for me betting on the NHL Playoffs, going 2-1 to win 2 units. Tonight we have two games again, with the Canes having the chance for their second series sweep in a row, let’s keep winning!
Game 4: Flyers vs. Hurricanes (6:00)
Its insane that this series can already be over after tonight while the Sabres and Habs haven’t even played Game 3 of the Atlantic Division series yet, and it’s tied up. Carolina has the chance to complete their second sweep of this year’s playoffs, and punch their ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals real quickly. The Hurricanes dominated Game 1, which was kind of a snoozefest, as the Hurricanes dominated at home to a 3-0 shutout win, completely shutting down the Flyers offense. The Canes started hot, with Logan Stankoven scoring just 1:31 into the game and Jackson Blake giving them a 2-0 lead just 7:30 into the first. Stankoven added a second goal in the second period, putting the game out of reach for Philly. Carolina’s just so good defensively, limiting the Flyers to just nine shots on goal through 40 minutes. In Game 2 on Monday night, Philly started off hot to answer back, scoring two goals in 39 seconds to take a 2-0 lead just 4:41 into the game, giving the Canes their first deficit in a game all playoffs this year. Nikolaj Ehlers got Carolina back within one pretty quickly, then Seth Jarvis tied it up to force overtime with 8:39 left in regulation. 18:54 into overtime, Taylor Hall completed the comeback with the game winner to put the Hurricanes up 2-0 in the series on a 3-2 win at home. As the series shifted to Philly for Game 3, I thought that was the Flyers only chance to make this a series, and they got dominated again at home. Last in the first period, Jordan Stall gave the Hurricanes a lead on the power play, but early in the second, Trevor Zegras answering to tie it up. Late in the second though, Jalen Chatfield scored short handed for Carolina and that was all she wrote, as the Hurricanes scored two in the third to win 4-1 and put the Flyers on the brink of elimination. I think this series is over. Philly hasn’t really been able to generate anything offensively against the stellar defense that Rod the Bod has the Canes playing. I think it’s over tonight. I already will win 2.5 units on the Hurricanes winning the series in 6 games or less, and I’ll double down on them to end it here with another unit and a half on them tonight and half a unit on the puck line. I do like the under here again, expecting now much out of the Flyers, but I also expect Philly to be down in the third period, and Rick Tocchet’s going to empty the net early, so I could see some empty netters pushing it past the 5.5, so I’ll stay off it. I considered betting Sebastian Aho and Seth Jarvis to get points, but I don’t think either are worth it.
Game 3: Wild vs. Avalanche (9:00)
This series has been pretty fun to watch with two very high scoring games to open it up in Denver. Game 1 of this series on Sunday night was nuts to watch as both teams put on a show offensively, with the Avalanche winning 9-6 at home to lead the series. The Avs started off hot, with a 3-0 lead just 13 minutes into the game, but Minnesota battled back, taking a 5-4 lead in the second period. Colorado quickly tied it up before the second ended, and with a four third period for the Avs, with Cale Makar scoring twice after coming back from injury, they got the win. Offensively, I think the Wild can hang around games with the Avs, just as they did in the regular season, but the fact that they gave up nine goals is quite the concern (not that it’s great that the Avalanche gave up six either). The best players on the Avs shined in Game 2 at home. The game started off real hot, with Martin Necas and Kirill Kaprizov trading goals in the first three minutes of the game, but then the Avs got rolled, getting out to a 4-1 lead in the third on Nathan MacKinnon’s power play goal that was too much for them to dig out of, getting a 5-2 win at home, capped off by a huge empty netter from Val Nichushkin, that “mattered to some” as SVP said on SportsCenter after the game (huge win on the over), to take a 2-0 series lead to Minnesota. The Wild have to come out harder and play way better defensively here in tonight’s game at home, or this series is gonna be over quick. I’d lean they do since the Wild are a very good team, but I don’t trust it enough to bet them after those first two games. I love the over again though, which I’ll take for a unit. I hit a nice +385 parlay on Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas, Cale Makar, Kirill Kaprizov, Matt Boldy, and Quinn Hughes to each get a point in Game 1, and I’ll keep riding that that six leg parlay for another half unit tonight. I’ll also individually take Nathan MacKinnon to get over 1.5 points for a unit, Martin Necas to each get over 1.5 points for half a unit (I legitimately don’t understand how they’re still pricing him at +240 after he’s had multiple point games both of their games this series), and I’ll go back to Quinn Hughes to get an assist for half a unit.
Series Bets
2.5u Carolina Hurricanes to win series in 6 games or less (-150)
1.5u Golden Knights – Series Winner (-190)
Bets
1.5u Hurricanes ML (-192)
.5u Hurricanes -1.5 (+142)
1u Avalanche/Wild over 6.5 (+110)
.5u parlay: MacKinnon/Necas/Makar/Kaprizov/Boldy/Hughes 1+ point each (+276)
1u Nathan MacKinnon over 1.5 points (+100)
.5u Martin Necas over 1.5 points (+240)
.5u Quinn Hughes over 0.5 assist (-166)
Regular Season Record: 935-1041-2 (-106.22 units)
Playoffs Round 1 Record: 68-75 (-7.44 units)
Playoffs Round 2 Record: 17-16 (+4.7 units)
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A Town's Zone 