Another profitable night for me on the NHL Playoffs yesterday, going 2-1 to win 0.44 units. Tonight we have just one game with Game 4 of Avs vs. Wild in a 2-1 fun series. Let’s win again!
Game 4: Wild vs. Avalanche (8:00)
This is series now, with the Wild bouncing back in Game 3 to make it a 2-1 series after losing the first two games in Colorado to start the series. Game 1 of this series on Sunday night was nuts to watch as both teams put on a show offensively, with the Avalanche winning 9-6 at home to lead the series. The Avs started off hot, with a 3-0 lead just 13 minutes into the game, but Minnesota battled back, taking a 5-4 lead in the second period. Colorado quickly tied it up before the second ended, and with a four third period for the Avs, with Cale Makar scoring twice after coming back from injury, they got the win. Offensively, I think the Wild can hang around games with the Avs, just as they did in the regular season, but the fact that they gave up nine goals is quite the concern (not that it’s great that the Avalanche gave up six either). The best players on the Avs shined in Game 2 at home. The game started off real hot, with Martin Necas and Kirill Kaprizov trading goals in the first three minutes of the game, but then the Avs got rolled, getting out to a 4-1 lead in the third on Nathan MacKinnon’s power play goal that was too much for them to dig out of, getting a 5-2 win at home, capped off by a huge empty netter from Val Nichushkin, that “mattered to some” as SVP said on SportsCenter after the game (huge win on the over), to take a 2-0 series lead to Minnesota. The Wild had a must win game at home for Game 3 and came out and got a pretty dominant 5-1 win at home, despite both teams playing pretty evenly. Early in the second period, they got out to a 3-0 lead with goals from Kirill Kaprizov, Quinn Hughes, and Ryan Hartman. Nathan MacKinnon answered on the power play to get the Avs on the board and keep it close in a 3-1 game, but just 20 seconds later, Brock Faber answered back to make it 4-1 and Matt Boldy capped it out with an empty netter to end it in a 5-1 win. Huge win to make it a series, cause if they would’ve lost that game, there’s no chance they were coming back from a 3-0 series deficit, and even though they were outshot 36-26, they still were able to find a way to win 5-1. Impressive. I’d slightly lean the Avalanche answer back here on the road after that game, but not enough to bet on it. I like the over again, which I’ll take for a unit. I hit a nice +385 parlay on Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas, Cale Makar, Kirill Kaprizov, Matt Boldy, and Quinn Hughes to each get a point in Game 1, and I’ll keep riding that that six leg parlay for another half unit tonight. I’ll also individually take Nathan MacKinnon to get over 1.5 points for a unit, Martin Necas to each get over 1.5 points for half a unit (I legitimately don’t understand how they’re still pricing him at +205 after he’s had multiple point games both of the first two games this series), and I’ll go back to Quinn Hughes to get an assist for half a unit.
Series Bets
1.5u Golden Knights – Series Winner (-190)
Bets
1u Avalanche/Wild over 6.5 (-105)
.5u parlay: MacKinnon/Necas/Makar/Kaprizov/Boldy/Hughes 1+ point each (+387)
1u Nathan MacKinnon over 1.5 points (+100)
.5u Martin Necas over 1.5 points (+205)
.5u Quinn Hughes over 0.5 assist (-160)
Regular Season Record: 935-1041-2 (-106.22 units)
Playoffs Round 1 Record: 68-75 (-7.44 units)
Playoffs Round 2 Record: 22-22 (+6.14 units)
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A Town's Zone 