Memorial Tournament – Gambling Preview 2019

Muirfield Village Golf Club – Columbus, OH
“Jack’s Place”

Course Breakdown
Par 72, 7392 yds, Jack Nicklaus designed, bent grass fairways and greens with a little bit of poa mixed in, tree lined very easy to hit fairways (~69%) with deep fairway bunkers that are penal (only about 40% of golfers that hit fairway bunkers make par, 73 bunkers, 13 water hazards that are in play on 11 holes, water is placed in tricky spots with creeks running through the course with some on entire holes, less than driver course that favors placement for approach shots, difficult to hit out of thick 3 inch rough, harder than average greens to hit (~62%), extremely fast small greens with heavy undulation, many of the greens slope back to front, water and greenside bunkers in play, lot of rain in the area lately should make it a bit softer and easier

Key Stats
SG Approach, Par 4 Scoring, Ballstriking, SG: T2G

Main proximity distance ranges: 150-200 yds on Approach, 450-500 yds on Par 4s

Field
120 player invitational with the strongest field of the year outside of majors and WGC’s

Defending Champion: Bryson DeChambeau (-15 in playoff)
Runner Up Last Year: Benny An & Kyle Stanley (-15)

One and Done: Rickie Fowler
Alternate: Gary Woodland

One and Done Considerations: Rickie, Tiger, Stenson, Woodland

Players
Tiger: 11200: +1315 – 5 time winner here, last year was 1st in SG T2G but lost 8 strokes putting, greatest evaaa
Rickie: 10600: +2000 – Should be lower owned than everyone around him, typically a great iron player and bounces back VERY well after bad weeks in his career on approach (lost a stroke on approach last week), always good T2G, lost in a playoff here two years ago
Kuch: 9400: +1800 – Best season of his career, very good course history here including a win in 2013, very consistent, probably my favorite DK play this week
Woody: 8800: +2800 – T10 at the PGA 2 weeks ago where he was 2nd in SG T2G behind Brooks (+14.2) and Approach (+8), made last 3 cuts here including a T4 in 2016, is the least shitty at putting on bentgrass and actually gained strokes putting here 2 of the last 3 years
Stenny: 8500: +4500 – T13 here last year, has averaged +5.73 SG: Approach per tournament for his past 6 events played, long term and short term is T15 in proximity from 175-200 yds and T5 in SG Approach
Grillo: 7900: +5000 – Really accurate, good on approach, consistently making cuts this year, T10 in GIR in last 12 rounds, 3rd in BOTH proximity 150-175 yds and 175-200 yds over last 50 rounds (only him and Kokrak are T5 in both), 6th in SG putting on bentgrass
Hatton: 7700: +6600 – Approach and ballstriking were good at the PGA but his putting sucked, seemed to turn the putting around a bit last week, good at GIR, good at Par 4 scoring, good out of the sand, good on approach especially from 150-175 yds
Keegan: 7600: +7000 – Has gained strokes on both T2G and Approach in his last 10 events in a row, solid at Par 4 scoring (450-500 yds), GIR, ballstriking
Peter Uihlein: 7200: +9000 – Good history here with a T13 and a T5 here, good recent form with a T5 and T25 in his last 2 events, he also came in here the last 2 years with 2 T25s the two weeks prior to this tournament