Rocket Mortgage Classic – Gambling Preview 2019

Detroit Golf Club – Detroit, MI

Course Breakdown

Par 72, 7334 yds, 4 of the Par 4s under 400 yds, 4 of the Par 4s over 450 yds, 2 of the Par 3s over 200 yds, 2 of the Par 5s are reachable by most of the field with another one reachable by some, Donald Ross designed course, tree lined fairways, fairway bunkers in the landing zones, undulating fairways and greens, less than driver on about half of holes, mainly straight holes (not many doglegs on Donald Ross designs), slightly below average fairway widths, 3.5 inch rough, barely less than average sized greens, bunkers surrounding the bunkers, greens slope heavily from back to front with heavy undulation, Bluegrass greens (mix of mostly POA with bentgrass)

Tournament Notes

  • First year this tournament is being held, replacing the Quicken Loans National
  • First PGA event at Detroit Golf Club

Key Stats

Ballstriking, SG Approach, SG: T2G, Birdie+ %

Main proximity distance on approach: 125-150 yds

Corollary Courses

East Lake Golf Club (Tour Championship), Sedgefield Country Club (Wyndham Championship) – both similar Donald Ross design courses

Field

Pretty shitty field

One and Done: Ryan Moore

Alternate: Billy Horschel

One and Done Considerations: DJ, Hideki, Ryan Moore, Billy Ho

Players

  • DJ: 12000: +520 – By far the best player in the field, could easily just crush everyone else if he feels like it, these odds are unbettable regardless of course and how shitty the field is, pretty tough to play on DK at this price since the lower end of this field to fit him in is complete garbage
  • Moore: 9500: +3000 – T10 T2G last week, 5th in short Par 4 scoring, has played really good at East Lake (3rd and 2nd the 2 times he played it), needs to make putts, T15 in SG on Donald Ross designed courses (26 rounds, avg: 20 DK pts/round)
  • Billy Ho: 9000: +3300 – Really good iron game this year, good T2G, hits a lot of greens, solid OTT
  • Niemann: 8900: +4500 – In 2 of his last 3 events he’s gained strokes in every SG category there is, good iron player, good on approach, solid T2G and OTT, really good at short Par 4s
  • Hoff: 7800: +7000 – Last 24 rounds: 15th Birdie+ %, 16th in DK pts, 1st in proximity 125-150 yds, 18th in proximity 150-175 yds, 11th in GIR, 5th in SG Approach, 7th in SG Ballstriking, should be lower owned since he’s burned a lot of people lately on DK

DraftKings/Betting Notes

No chance I play DK this week, this field blows. Might look at some matchup bets and possibly T5 bets.