Travelers Championship – Gambling/DFS Preview 2021

TPC River Highlands – Hartford, CT

Course Breakdown

6841 yd. Par 70, second shortest course on tour, Pete Dye course, 7 par 4s are between 400-450yds, both par 5s are reachable, guys could club down and hit their spots where they want, lot of birdie opportunities here, doesn’t favor any particular ball flight, wide and easy fairways to hit here (~69% vs. ~62% tour average), trees in play if you miss the fairways, the fairways get narrower the farther from the tee you go, first cut of rough isn’t very penal but gets tougher with bigger misses, top ten hardest courses on tour to scramble from the rough, soft and receptive predominately POA greens with a mix of bentgrass, greens are smaller but easier than average to hit (~68% vs. ~65% tour average), fast greens have a bit of slope and not much undulation, lot of the greens are elevated, pins could be located in tough spots, greens are guarded by collection areas, water, thick rough and bunkers, water in play in about 1/3 of holes but isn’t a big factor

Tournament Notes

  • 4 of the last 11 winners got their first career win here
  • 4 of the last 8 winners were coming into the week off a missed cut in their previous event
  • 5 of the last 7 winners have posted at least a T30 here before winning
  • Since 2001, only 2 golfers (Phil in 2001, Spieth in 2017) won on their first time here
  • SG: OTT is much more important here than ATG, but both are outweighed by approach

Key Stats

SG Approach, SG: T2G, Par 4 scoring 450-500 yds.

Main proximity distance range on approach: 150-175 yds.

Corollary Courses

  • Pete Dye tracks. Slightly different than other Pete Dye tracks but still has similar elements 
  • Riviera Country Club (Genesis Open) – lot of crossover success
  • Copperhead Course (Valspar Championship) – lot of crossover success

Field

149 golfers, decent strength but not as good as last year coming out of the COVID stoppage

Defending Champion: Dustin Johnson (-19)

Runner Up Last Year: Kevin Streelman (-18)

One and Done: Kevin Streelman

Alternate: Emiliano Grillo

One and Done Considerations: Casey, Berger, Streelman, Keegan

Players

Paul Casey: 9900: +1771 – Most SG here (41.22) over the last 5 years with T32,T5,T2,T5,T17 finishes, T7 and T4 his last 2 events (both majors), plays great on courses under 7200 yds, best in the field on Pete Dye courses, 2nd in SG: T2G, 2nd in approach, 6th in ballstriking, 44th in SG: OTT, 18th in SG: ARG, 37th in Par 4 scoring 400-450 yds, 16th in proximity 150-175 yds, 2nd in proximity 200+ yds, 16th in proximity 125-150 yds, 5th in Par 4 scoring, 7th in Par 5 scoring, 7th in birdie+ %, 20th in opportunities gained, 5th in DK pts

Scottie Scheffler: 9600: +2667 – T7,3,MC,T8 his last 4 events, 7th in SG: T2G, 12th in SG: OTT, 21st in approach,8th in ballstriking, 20th in SG: ARG, 19th in Par 4 scoring 400-450 yds, 7th in Par 4 scoring, 9th in Par 5 scoring, 85th in proximity 150-175 yds, 19th in proximity 200+ yds, 40th in proximity 125-150 yds, 3rd in birdie+ %, 51st in opportunities gained, 6th in DK pts

Kevin Streelman: 9400: +3435 – fantastic at Pete Dye courses, 2,T15,T33,T8 here the last 4 years, T15,T13,T20,T8 his last 4 events, 11th in SG: T2G, 19th in approach, 11th in ballstriking, 15th in SG: OTT, 52nd in SG: ARG, 28th in Par 4 scoring 400-450 yds, 15th in Par 4 scoring, 64th in Par 5 scoring, 15th in proximity 150-175 yds, 18th in proximity 125-150 yds, 20th in birdie+ %, 5th in opportunities gained, 18th in DK pts

Abraham Ancer: 9100: +2150 – Most SG on Pete Dye courses, MC at the US Open last week but T14 and T8 finishes in the two event prior (Charles Schwab and PGA Championship), T11,T8 finishes here the last 2 years, 5th in approach, 4th in ballstriking, 6th in SG: T2G, 7th in SG: OTT, 79 in SG: ARG, 2nd in Par 4 scoring, 3rd in Par 4 scoring 400-450 yds, 2nd in proximity 150-175 yds, 31st in birdie+ %, 14th in opportunities gained, 21st in DK pts

Charley Hoffman: 8600: +4225 – T41,MC,T15,T3,T25 here the last 5 years, 1st in approach, 1st in ballstriking, 3rd in SG: T2G, 22nd in SG: OTT, 87th in SG: ARG, 9th in Par 4 scoring 400-450 yds, 12th in Par 4 scoring, 6th in Par 5 scoring, 83rd in proximity 150-175 yds, 16th in proximity 200+ yds, 59th in proximity 125-150 yds, 2nd in birdie+ %, 1st in opportunities gained, 2nd in DK pts

Max Homa: 7800: +9050 – T6 at Memorial between the 2 MCs at the majors, 12th in approach, 12th in ballstriking, 22nd in SG: T2G, 29th in SG: OTT, 20th in proximity 150-175 yds, 4th in proximity 200+ yds, 59th in proximity 125-150 yds, 20th in Par 4 scoring, 23rd in Par 4 scoring 400-450 yds, 11th in Par 5 scoring, 10th in birdie+ %, 7th in opportunities gained, 12th in DK pts, 7.8% projected DK ownership

Cameron Tringale: 7600: +8000 – T26,T32 his last 2 events, 16th in SG: T2G, 30th in approach, 47th in ballstriking, 4th in SG: ARG, 76th in SG: OTT, 5th in Par 4 scoring, 13th in Par 4 scoring 400-450 yds, 25th in Par 5 scoring, 36th in proximity 200+ yds, 63rd in proximity 125-150 yds, 12th in birdie+ %, 61st in opportunities gained, 13th in DK pts, 7.6% projected DK ownership

Emiliano Grillo: 7300: +8650 – made the cut here the last 4 years, MC,T8,T38 his last 3 events, 4th in approach, 7th in ballstriking, 19th in SG: T2G, 24th in SG: OTT, 3rd in Par 4 scoring, 1st in Par 4 scoring 400-450 yds, 5th in proximity 150-175 yds, 9th in proximity 200+ yds, 53rd in proximity 125-150 yds, 5th in birdie+ %, 5th in opportunities gained, 9th in DK pts

DraftKings Lineups

Lineup 1: Streelman, Ancer, Hoffman, Homa, Tringale, Grillo

Contests

$8 $400k GPP ($100k to 1st)

$5 Single Entry Double Up (1839 entries)

$5 Double Up (2298 entries)


Please follow us on Instagram @atownszone and Twitter @atownszone! If you like the site and my work, share it with your friends.

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s