Last night’s huge NHL slate didn’t go great for me. Although I went 8-7, ended up losing 6.51 units. Smaller five game slate tonight, let’s bounce back.
Penguins vs. Red Wings (7:00)
Last night the Penguins took a pretty embarrassing home loss to 2-1 loss at home to the Seattle Kraken. That was their first loss in their last seven games and only their third loss in their last 20 games. The Pens are one of the hottest teams in the NHL with a 27-10-6 record. They’re scoring an eighth most in the NHL average of only 3.35 goals per game and allowing only 2.54 goals per game, second fewest in the NHL. With Tristan Jarry starting in goal last night, the Penguins will probably have to go with backup Casey DeSmith tonight though. He hasn’t been great with a 3-3-1 record, 3.58 GAA and .886 save percentage. The Red Wings come into tonight on a three game losing streak and an 18-19-6 record. They’ve been especially bad on the road, with a 5-12-3 record away from home. They’re averaging only 2.72 goals per game, ninth fewest in the NHL and allowing an average of 3.4 goals per game, eighth most in the NHL. Even with DeSmith starting and the Pens on the second half of a back to back, I can’t see the Penguins losing back to back games. I’ll lay the -250 juice here with the ML for a unit and I’ll take the Pens TT over 3.5 for 1.5 units.
Rangers vs. Wild (8:00)
Tonight the Rangers raise legendary goalie Hank Lundqvist’s #30 to the Rafters of Madison Square Garden. One of the most historic barns in the NHL is gonna be buzzing tonight for a great matchup. Last night the Rags lost 5-3 (split that game, winning the over and losing the Rangers). They’re 28-12-4 on the season with only four losses in their last 13 games. The Rangers are averaging 3 goals per game and allowing an average of only 2.59 goals per game, fourth fewest in the NHL. With Georgiev starting last night, that means (fitting with Hank’s retirement ceremony tonight), the best goalie in the NHL gets the net, Igor Shesterkin (20-4-2 record, 2.07 GAA, .937 save percentage. The Wild are another top team in the league with a 25-10-3 record, coming into this game on a three game win streak and with only one loss in their last seven games. They have the third highest scoring offense in the NHL, averaging 3.82 goals per game while allowing an average of 2.95 goals per game. I’d slightly lean the Wild to ruin Rangers fans nights tonight and I’d lean the under, but not enough to bet on either. This should be the most fun game to watch on the slate.
Blackhawks vs. Avalanche (8:30)
The Colorado Avalanche are the highest flying team in the NHL. They come into tonight’s game in Chicago on an eight game win streak with only one loss (in overtime) in their last 14 games and only two in their last 20 games. They have the top offense in the NHL, averaging 4.1 goals per game and with Pavel Francouz’s great play in net lately (6-1, 2.03 GAA, .932 save percentage), they’ve improved on the back end lately, allowing an average of 2.95 goals per game. The Blackhawks ended their four game losing streak on Wednesday night with a huge 8-5 win in Detroit. Chicago’s hasn’t been great at 16-20-7 on the season. They’re scoring only 2.42 goals per game, fourth fewest in the NHL and allowing the eleventh most goals in hockey, an average of 3.28 goals per game. This is the fourth and final meeting of the season between these two teams and the Avs have won all of the first three with 4-2, 4-3 in overtime and 2-0 wins. The Avs should keep on rolling tonight and I was shocked to see the ML on this game under -200. I’ll take Colorado for 2 units here. I’d lean the over but not enough to bet on it with how Francouz’s playing and Fleury in the other net. Go Avs Go!
Stars vs. Capitals (9:00)
The Capitals are on a slump, coming into this game at 23-12-9 with only three win (two in overtime) in their last eleven games. Not great. And I keep losing money on them. The Caps statistically look fine, averaging 3.14 goals per game, twelfth most in the NHL and only allowing an average of 2.73 goals per game, eleventh fewest in the league. They just haven’t been able to put it all together and win some fucking games. Dallas has played some pretty easy opponents lately and come into tonight with a four game win streak. They’re 22-16-2 on the season but significantly better at home where they have a 14-4-1 record in American Airlines Center. The Stars are averaging 2.95 goals per game and allowing an average of 3 per game. This is a tough game to predict. Ovi and the Capitals are a significantly better team but they’re playing flat, shitty hockey lately and the Stars aren’t great statistically but they’re very good at home. I’d slightly lean the under, but not enough to bet on.
Coyotes vs. Bruins (9:00)
The Bruins are coming off a great game in Colorado on Wednesday night where they blew a 3-1 lead to lose 4-3 in overtime (double winner to me). Before that they got beat 5-3 by the Ducks at home but prior to that they had been playing incredible hockey coming out of the Christmas break and just had two losses in their prior twelve games. The B’s are a really solid team scoring an average of 3.1 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.75 goals per game, twelfth fewest in the NHL. Arizona’s one of the worst teams in the NHL at 10-27-4, coming into this game on a three game losing streak. They’re only better than Montreal on both ends in the basement of the NHL, averaging a second fewest 2.24 goals per game and allowing a second most 3.76 goals per game. This should be a pretty easy, get right spot for the Bruins. I’ll go with 3 units here on the Bruins in regulation.
1u Penguins ML (-250)
1.5u Penguins TT over 3.5 (-125)
2u Avalanche ML (-186)
3u Bruins in regulation (-175)
Record: 366-251-14 (+15.07 units)
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