Last night I went 2-2, pretty much breaking even winning +0.63 units. But I’ll take any wins I can get after the Penguins couldn’t win two straight at home against shitty opponents. Today we have a big ten game NHL slate with games all day.
Senators vs. Ducks (12:30)
On Thursday night, Trevor Zegras pulled off the goal of the year, the Michigan, in the Ducks 5-4 win (that had no real sweat until the last five minutes of the game) against Montreal for their third win in their last four games. This 22-16-8 team seems to have gotten off their bad cold streak and should start winning again. On the season, Anaheim is scoring an average of 2.93 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.83 per game. Ottawa isn’t very good. They’re 13-20-4 and still don’t have fans in their arena due to Canada’s stupid rules. The Sens are averaging 2.81 goals per game and have been terrible defensively, allowing an average of 3.43 goals per game, sixth most in the NHL. When these teams played in Anaheim on November 26th, the Ducks cruised in a 4-0 shutout win. I like the Ducks to win this one again although it probably won’t be as easy of a game. I’ll take the Ducks for a unit here along with laying the juice on the low TT over 2.5 for them for a unit.
Flyers vs. Kings (1:00)
The 13-22-8 Flyers are a broken team on the worst losing streak of the season, without a win in their last 13 games. This team sucks, scoring an average of only 2.47 goals per game, fifth fewest in the NHL while allowing a ninth most 3.35 goals per game. LA is 22-16-6 and they come to Philly with two wins in their last three games, coming off a 3-2 win on Long Island on Thursday. Their offense hasn’t produced a whole lot, averaging just 2.73 goals per game, tenth fewest in the NHL but have been very good defensively, allowing a fifth fewest 2.61 goals per game. The Kings already beat the Flyers 6-3 in LA earlier this month on New Year’s Day. I like the Kings to win here on the road and keep the Flyers losing streak going, expecting them to shut down any offense from Philly. I’ll take a unit each on the Kings ML and the Flyers TT under 2.5 in regulation.
Blues vs. Jets (3:00)
The St. Louis Blues are playing great hockey. They’re 26-12-5 with a 17-4-2 record at home and come into this game with four wins in their last five games and only three losses in their last 12 games. The Blues are scoring an average of 3.49 goals per game, fifth most in the NHL while allowing the eighth fewest in the league, an average of only 2.67 per game. The Jets are 17-16-7 and haven’t been playing good hockey at all lately, on a six game losing streak coming into today’s game on the road. Winnipeg is averaging 2.78 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.95 goals per game. These teams split their two previous matchups this season in Winnipeg, with the Blues winning 3-2 in a shootout on November 9th and the Jets winning 4-2 on December 19th. I like the Blues to get a win here at home and I’ll take them for 1.5 units.
Panthers vs. Sharks (6:00)
Florida’s one of the best teams in the NHL at 30-9-5 and they have one of the best home records in the league with a 22-3 record in Sunrise, Florida. They have been playing great hockey, with a 12-2-1 record in their last 15 games. The Panthers are second in the NHL in scoring, averaging 4.02 goals per game while allowing an average of 2.8 per game. San Jose has been decent this year with a 22-19-2 record but I feel like they’re kind of a shitty team. They’re coming off a 4-1 win in Washington on Wednesday night, just their second win in their last six games. The Sharks are averaging just 2.74 goals per game and allowing an average of 3.05 per game. I think the ML on this game is too expensive here at -335, but Florida should win pretty easily. I’ll take the Panthers in regulation and the Panthers TT over 3.5 for 1.5 units each.
Canadiens vs. Oilers (7:00)
The Habs are the worst team in the NHL, quite the downturn from last year’s magic in a bottle of going to the Cup Finals. They’re 8-27-7 and on a four game losing streak with just two wins in their last 19 games. This team blows. They’re scoring the fewest goals in the NHL, an average of only 2.21 goals per game and allowing the most in the league, 3.79 per game on average. Worst team in the league on both ends of the ice. McDavid, Draisaitl and the Oilers are off their losing streak and come into tonight on a three game win streak. They’re 21-16-2, scoring an average of 3.21 goals per game (most of those goals involving McDavid and Draisaitl) but have been pretty bad defensively, allowing 3.33 goals per game on average. Edmonton should crush the Canadiens, but they’ve been so inconsistent that its tough to bet this game at the high prices that we’re getting on them. I’ll just go with a unit on the Oilers TT over 3.5 here.
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs (7:00)
The Red Wings are coming off a very surprising 3-2 shootout win in Pittsburgh (double loser for me that prevented me from having a huge night). They still aren’t good though. Detroit has a 19-19-6 record but have been better at home where they’re 13-7-3. They’re averaging 2.7 goals per game, ninth fewest in the NHL and allowing an eight most 3.36 goals per game. The Leafs are having a great season with a 26-10-3 record and come into this game with three wins in their last four games. They’re scoring a seventh most 3.36 goals per game and allowing a seventh fewest 2.62 goals per game. Tonight they’re starting backup Petr Mrazek in goal, who’s not nearly as good as Jack Campbell, but even with that, they should win tonight. I can’t see Detroit winning two in a row against good teams. When these teams played in Toronto on October 30th, the Leafs won a 5-4 game, a high scoring affair. I’ll take Toronto in regulation for a unit and a half unit on the Leafs TT over 3.5. I’d lean the over as well, but not enough to bet on it.
Lightning vs. Golden Knights (7:00)
Tampa hasn’t taken much of a step back from their back to back Cups the last two years. They’re 29-10-5 with a 15-4-3 record at home. The Bolts come into tonight’s game at home with six wins in their last seven games. They’re scoring a sixth most in the NHL average of 3.41 goals per game and allowing an average of 2.77 per game, 13th fewest in the league. Vegas has gotten much healthier lately with a lot of their stars returning to the lineup and they’re 25-16-3 on the season, coming into this game though with back to back losses in Florida and California. The Golden Knights have a very good offense as well, averaging an eighth most 3.34 goals per game but allowing an average of three goals per game. The Lightning won 4-3 on the road in Vegas when these teams played December 21st. I think they win again here and will take them for half a unit. I like the over a lot here too, expecting both teams to score and I’ll take that for a unit.
Hurricanes vs. Devils (7:00)
Carolina’s having a hell of a season. The Canes are 29-9-2 with a 14-4-1 record at home and come into tonight’s game with five wins in their last six games. They’re scoring the fourth most goals in hockey, an average of 3.55 per game and allowing the fewest goals in hockey, just 2.4 per game. The Devils on the other hand suck. Coming into this game with a 15-22-5 record with only win in their last seven games…ironically that win was against Carolina last Saturday, where they won 7-4 against a fourth string goalie. On the season, NJ is averaging only 2.83 goals per game and allowing a sixth most in the NHL 3.43 goals per game. I love the Hurricanes to get revenge for that loss with a big win at home tonight. I’ll take Carolina in regulation for 4 units and the Canes TT over 3.5 for 2 units.
Coyotes vs. Sabres (9:00)
Both of these teams suck big time. My Buffalo Sabres have two wins in their last four games but they’re a terrible team at 13-22-7. They’re scoring only a seventh fewest in the NHL, 2.6 goals per game and allowing a fifth most in the NHL 3.48 goals per game. With FIFTH string goaltender Michael Houser going to the COVID list yesterday, the Sabres were on EBUG watch but it looks like Craig Anderson will be starting, returning from injury for his first game since November 2nd. Arizona’s just as bad though. The Yotes are on a four game losing streak, with a 10-28-4 record. They’re one of the worst teams in hockey, averaging a fewest in the NHL 2.21 goals per game while allowing a second most 3.71 per game. When they played the first time this season in the opening week of the season, the Sabres won 2-1 in a shootout at home. I think the Yotes win this game but I’m not gonna bet on it.
Flames vs. Canucks (10:00)
This is an interesting matchup between these Canadian teams. Calgary been having a solid season at 20-13-6 and after a bit of a slump, they’ve now won three of their last five games. On the season, they’re averaging a tenth most in the NHL 3.21 goals per game and allowing the second fewest goals in hockey, just 2.54 per game. The Canucks turned their season around after hiring Boudreau as their new head coach but recently have had a lot of injury issues and now sit at 19-19-5. They’re coming off a 5-1 win in Winnipeg on Thursday, ending their three game losing streak. On the season, Vancouver’s averaging only 2.49 goals per game, fifth fewest in the NHL, but have been good defensively, allowing a twelfth fewest 2.72 goals per game. I’d lean Calgary and the under here but not enough to bet on either of them. It’s just tough betting against the new look Canucks so I’ll stay off this game.
1u Ducks ML (-140)
1u Ducks TT over 2.5 (-200)
1u Kings ML (-167)
1u Flyers TT under 2.5 in regulation (-148)
1.5u Blues ML (-150)
1.5u Florida in regulation (-190)
1.5u Florida TT over 3.5 (-150)
1u Oilers TT over 3.5 (-130)
1u Leafs in regulation (-152)
.5u Leafs TT over 3.5 (-132)
.5u Lightning ML (-148)
1u Lightning/Vegas over 6 (-120)
4u Carolina in regulation (-182)
2u Carolina TT over 3.5 (-140)
Record: 368-253-14 (+15.7 units)
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