Weird night in the NHL yesterday with a ton of upsets as I went 1-6 to end my three day solid win streak with a complete shit night, losing 5.98 units to erase all those profits. Rough. Tonight we only have a small three game slate. Let’s bounce back.
Senators vs. Sabres (7:00)
Both of these teams have been on pretty bad losing runs coming into tonight’s game. Last night the Sabres took their sixth straight loss in a row, losing 5-4 at home to the Canucks. They got off to a slow start, getting into a 2-0 hole less than half way through the first period and then in the second period after giving up too power play goals for Vancouver in the span of less than two minutes it was too big of a hole to climb out of. We’re now 7-9 on the season. The offense has been pretty good, scoring an average of 3.69 goals per game on an average of 31.9 shots per game. Defensively they’ve been terrible with bad goaltending from both goalies. We’ve allowed an average of 3.56 goals per game on an average of 31.4 shots per game given up. Eric Comrie should be starting tonight after Craig Anderson started last night. Comrie has been pretty bad with a 4-6 record with a 3.62 GAA and .885 save percentage this season. The Senators are 5-9-1 on a pretty bad run recently of their own with only one win in their last nine games. Coming off their 4-1 win in Philly on Saturday night, they lost 4-2 at home to the Islanders on Monday. Similar to Buffalo, the Sens have been decent offensively but have struggled on the back end. They’re scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game on an average of 32.5 shots per game. Defensively they’ve allowed an average of 3.53 goals per game on an average of 34.2 shots allowed. These teams met in the first game of the season with the Sabres opening the year with a good 4-1 win at home. Ottawa won two of the three games these Atlantic Division teams played last year, winning 5-0 and 3-1 and losing 3-1. I’d lean the Sabres win here on the road but on the second half of a back to back and with how poorly they have played defensively on this losing streak, I will stay off this game. I like the over though. The 7 is too high of a bet to me but I will lay the juice a bit and take the alternate over 6.5 for half a unit. Go Sabres.
Blackhawks vs. Blues (7:30)
The Blues seem to have bounced back from their eight game losing streak, coming into tonight on a three game win streak to improve to 6-8 on the season. They just beat the defending Stanley Cup champ Avalanche on Monday and the Western Conference leading Golden Knights on Saturday in their last two games. Impressive 3-2 wins on the road against both of those opponents after a 5-3 win against the lowly Sharks to snap the losing streak. On the season, St. Louis has struggled on both ends of the ice. They’ve scored an average of only 2.43 goals per game on an average of 30 shots per game and they’ve allowed an average of 3.57 goals per game on an average of 33.3 shots allowed. The Blackhawks are coming off a 3-0 shutout loss at home to the Hurricanes on Monday, dropping to 6-6-3 on the season with only two wins in their last nine games. They’ve sucked on both ends of the ice. Chicago has scored an average of just 2.53 goals per game on an average of only 25.8 shots generated. They’ve allowed an average of 3 goals per game on an average of 34.7 shot per game. These teams played four times last season with the Blues winning three of those games, two in shutouts, winning 1-0 and 4-0 along with a 5-1 blows, with the loss coming in overtime 3-2. I like St. Louis to win tonight to keep their win streak going on the road. I will take the Blues here for half a unit.
Oilers vs. Kings (10:00)
This should be a fun Pacific Division matchup tonight. The Oilers are 9-7 and have struggled a bit lately. They’re coming off a 4-2 win in Florida on Saturday but just have two wins in their last six games after going on a five game winning streak a few weeks ago. Connor McDavid continues to prove he’s the best player in the NHL and arguably one of the best players ever as he leads the NHL in scoring with 32 points, 15 goals and 17 assists. Him and the Oilers offense has been very good, averaging 3.69 goals per game on an average of 32.1 shots per game. Their defense and goaltending on the other hand though has sucked. They’ve allowed an average of 3.63 goals per game on an average of 34.9 shots allowed. Tonight they have Stuart Skinner projected to start in goal, who’s been much better than Jack Campbell has. Skinner has a 2.53 GAA and .932 save percentage through his six starts this year. The Kings have been good lately. They come into tonight with a 10-7-1 record, coming off a 6-5 loss in Calgary on Monday night that ended their four game win streak. Their offense has been improved from last year, scoring an average of 3.33 goals per game on an average of 32.4 shots. Similar to Edmonton, their defense hasn’t been good, allowing an average of 3.5 goals per game on an average of 29.9 shots allowed. They are likely to start Cal Petersen in goal tonight who’s struggled despite having a 4-2 record with a 4.06 GAA and .867 save percentage. The Oilers won three of the four games between these divisional teams last season. I like Edmonton to win here tonight and will take them for a unit.
.5u Senators/Sabres over 6.5 (-148)
.5u Blues ML (-165)
1u Oilers ML (-135)
1.5u Boston Bruins – Stanley Cup Champions (+1100)
2u Vegas Golden Knights – Stanley Cup Champions (+1200)
1.5u Carolina Hurricanes – Stanley Cup Champions (+1300)
Record: 113-108-2 (-22.83 units)
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